FootyPulse accuracy — track record

38%

18/47 correct winner calls

Prediction

Pre-match vs half-time re-prediction

38% pre-match → 62% at half-time(+23.4 pts better once the AI re-reads the match)

Pre-match

38%

18 / 47 correct

The call published before kick-off, scored on the 90-minute result.

At half-time

62%

29 / 47 correct

At the break the AI re-reads the match — the actual scoreline, red cards, how it's really going — and re-predicts.

These live half-time re-predictions are a FootyPulse Pro feature — Pro members see the model's updated call at half-time, during the match. We publish their full record here for everyone. See Pro →

Across 47 matches with a half-time re-prediction in Premier League 2026/27. Both percentages are computed live from the same set of matches, scored on the 90-minute result. 1 re-prediction was excluded — not locked before the second half, so scoring it wouldn't be honest.

Accuracy over time — Premier League 2026/27

Running accuracy is 38% across 47 scored matches (-5 pts since the first round).

0255075100Gameweek 1Gameweek 2Gameweek 3Gameweek 4Gameweek 5
Running accuracy Accuracy that round

Round-by-round trajectory — Premier League 2026/27

Gameweek 143% (3/7)
Gameweek 250% (5/10)
Gameweek 330% (3/10)
Gameweek 420% (2/10)
Gameweek 550% (5/10)
Our biggest miss

Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City

19 Sept

Our call
Nottingham Forest to win (68%)
Actual
Coventry City won 0–1

"Nottingham Forest enter this fixture in vastly superior shape despite significant absences, having just beaten Aston Villa away — a top-six side — while Coventry City arrive on a four-match losing streak that includes a humiliating 5-0 home capitulation to Brighton."

We own our misses — this was our worst call so far.

Read the full match analysis →
Our bravest correct call

Brentford vs Chelsea

18 Sept

Our call
Brentford to win (38%)
Actual
Brentford won 3–0

"Brentford's WDDD form conceals a solid home fortress — 50% win rate with just 0.50 goals conceded per game at the Community Stadium — but the absence of Nathan Collins in central defence removes a pillar of that defensive record."

Called against the odds — and we got it right.

Read the full match analysis →

Every prediction, every result

The full log — filter by team, round, or verdict. Sortable.

Showing stats for: Premier League 2026/27

Outcome accuracy
18 / 47
38% correct
Exact scores
2
Perfect scorelines
Biggest correct call
78%
Manchester City vs Coventry City
Biggest miss
68%
Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City
▾
Gold pills mark exact-score matches.

All results

Sort:
Predictions and results are based on 90-minute full-time scores. Extra-time and penalty shootouts are not included in accuracy calculations.
DateMatchPredictedActualOutcomeVerdict
20 SeptFulham vs Manchester United1–21–1Draw❌ Wrong
20 SeptBournemouth vs Liverpool1–20–1Liverpool win✅ Correct
20 SeptManchester City vs Sunderland2–05–3Manchester City win✅ Correct
20 SeptLeeds United vs Crystal Palace3–10–0Draw❌ Wrong
19 SeptNottingham Forest vs Coventry City2–00–1Coventry City win❌ Wrong
19 SeptEverton vs Ipswich Town2–11–0Everton win✅ Correct
19 SeptNewcastle United vs Hull City2–12–1Newcastle United win✅ CorrectExact
19 SeptBrighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal1–23–0Brighton & Hove Albion win❌ Wrong
19 SeptTottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa2–02–3Aston Villa win❌ Wrong
18 SeptBrentford vs Chelsea3–23–0Brentford win✅ Correct
14 SeptLeeds United vs Newcastle United1–24–1Leeds United win❌ Wrong
13 SeptManchester United vs Manchester City3–20–1Manchester City win❌ Wrong
13 SeptCoventry City vs Brighton & Hove Albion1–20–5Brighton & Hove Albion win✅ Correct
12 SeptSunderland vs Arsenal1–20–2Arsenal win✅ Correct
12 SeptTottenham Hotspur vs Everton2–10–0Draw❌ Wrong
12 SeptChelsea vs Hull City3–12–2Draw❌ Wrong
12 SeptAston Villa vs Nottingham Forest1–01–2Nottingham Forest win❌ Wrong
12 SeptCrystal Palace vs Ipswich Town2–12–3Ipswich Town win❌ Wrong
12 SeptBournemouth vs Brentford1–22–2Draw❌ Wrong
12 SeptLiverpool vs Fulham3–10–0Draw❌ Wrong
06 SeptArsenal vs Chelsea2–12–1Arsenal win✅ CorrectExact
06 SeptEverton vs Manchester United2–12–2Draw❌ Wrong
05 SeptHull City vs Aston Villa2–00–0Draw❌ Wrong
05 SeptBrighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United2–11–1Draw❌ Wrong
05 SeptBrentford vs Sunderland2–01–1Draw❌ Wrong
05 SeptManchester City vs Coventry City4–01–0Manchester City win✅ Correct
05 SeptFulham vs Crystal Palace1–12–3Crystal Palace win❌ Wrong
05 SeptNottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur2–10–0Draw❌ Wrong
05 SeptNewcastle United vs Bournemouth2–12–2Draw❌ Wrong
04 SeptIpswich Town vs Liverpool1–20–2Liverpool win✅ Correct
31 AugAston Villa vs Arsenal1–30–1Arsenal win✅ Correct
30 AugManchester United vs Ipswich Town2–15–2Manchester United win✅ Correct
30 AugSunderland vs Fulham2–11–0Sunderland win✅ Correct
30 AugChelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion3–24–3Chelsea win✅ Correct
30 AugLeeds United vs Brentford2–11–1Draw❌ Wrong
29 AugTottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United2–10–2Newcastle United win❌ Wrong
29 AugBournemouth vs Everton2–11–1Draw❌ Wrong
29 AugCoventry City vs Hull City2–10–1Hull City win❌ Wrong
29 AugLiverpool vs Nottingham Forest3–12–2Draw❌ Wrong
28 AugCrystal Palace vs Manchester City1–31–4Manchester City win✅ Correct
24 AugFulham vs Chelsea2–12–3Chelsea win❌ Wrong
23 AugNewcastle United vs Liverpool2–12–2Draw❌ Wrong
23 AugBrighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa2–14–0Brighton & Hove Albion win✅ Correct
23 AugManchester City vs Bournemouth3–12–1Manchester City win✅ Correct
22 AugBrentford vs Tottenham Hotspur1–23–0Brentford win❌ Wrong
22 AugHull City vs Manchester United1–22–0Hull City win❌ Wrong
21 AugArsenal vs Coventry City3–13–0Arsenal win✅ Correct

Confidence vs accuracy

High confidence (65%+)44% (9)
Medium (50–65%)54% (13)
Low (under 50%)28% (25)

Higher confidence predictions should be more accurate — that's the test.

Team breakdown

TeamPredictionsCorrect%
Manchester City5480%
Arsenal5480%
Coventry City5360%
Brighton & Hove Albion5360%
Chelsea5360%
Bournemouth5240%
Liverpool5240%
Aston Villa5240%
Fulham5120%
Manchester United5120%
Newcastle United5120%
Hull City5120%
Brentford5120%
Tottenham Hotspur500%
Sunderland4375%
Ipswich Town4375%
Crystal Palace4125%
Everton4125%
Leeds United400%
Nottingham Forest400%

Unlock full breakdown

How are these predictions made? Read our methodology →