Bournemouth vs Leeds United — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 9
31 OctoberVitality StadiumKicks off in 11d 21h 39m
Featured Prediction

Leeds United to win

46%Toss-up
Bournemouth win28%
Draw26%
Leeds United win46%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Leeds arrive at the Vitality with a perfect away record — 100% win rate, one clean sheet from one match — whilst Bournemouth's single result is a narrow 1-2 defeat at the Etihad, respectable but still a loss.
Predicted final score
1 – 2

at 90 minutes · Bournemouth vs Leeds United

Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
1 for Bournemouth · 2 for Leeds United
Predicted margin
0
1-goal edge to Leeds United
Match tempo
Balanced
Measured, decided by moments
Match closeness
Close
20-point gap between the favourite and the underdog

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Key stats

Bournemouth v Leeds United by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

BournemouthLeeds United
1-3-3League record (W-D-L)2-4-1
9 / 13Goals for / against9 / 6
6 ptsPoints10 pts
#15League position#7
1-2-1 at homeHome / away record1-1-1 away
1 of 5Clean sheets (last 5)1 of 5
Marcus Tavernier (3)Top scorerJayden Bogle (2)
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Bournemouth

WLLDD
  • W18 Oct 2026vs Sunderland2–0
  • L10 Oct 2026at Chelsea1–5
  • L20 Sept 2026vs Liverpool0–1
  • D12 Sept 2026vs Brentford2–2
  • D5 Sept 2026at Newcastle2–2

1W 2D 2L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 10 conceded · 1 clean sheet

Premier League 2026/27

Leeds United

DLDWD
  • D18 Oct 2026vs Man United1–1
  • L10 Oct 2026at Arsenal1–2
  • D20 Sept 2026vs Crystal Palace0–0
  • W14 Sept 2026vs Newcastle4–1
  • D5 Sept 2026at Brighton1–1

1W 3D 1L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 1 clean sheet

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 5 v last 5
Scored per match
Bournemouth1.40
Leeds United1.40
Conceded per match
Bournemouth2.00
Leeds United1.00
Head to head

Last 5 meetings

Bournemouth 1 · 2 drawn · Leeds United 2

DateHomeScoreAway
22 Apr 2026Bournemouth2–2Leeds United
27 Sept 2025Leeds United2–2Bournemouth
30 Apr 2023Bournemouth4–1Leeds United
5 Nov 2022Leeds United4–3Bournemouth
20 Jan 2015Leeds United1–0Bournemouth
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 46% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Medium influenceFavours Leeds United

Bournemouth rating 0.8 vs Leeds United 1.4 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Bournemouth

Bournemouth play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 1-2 implies goals at both ends.

Possession Projection
Leeds United ~59%

Prediction advantage suggests Leeds United dictate the tempo.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Bournemouth vs Leeds United prediction

Leeds arrive at the Vitality with a perfect away record — 100% win rate, one clean sheet from one match — whilst Bournemouth's single result is a narrow 1-2 defeat at the Etihad, respectable but still a loss.

Who will win Bournemouth vs Leeds United?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Leeds United to win with a 46% probability.

When is Bournemouth vs Leeds United?

Kick-off: Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 15:00 UTC at Vitality Stadium.

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Leeds United favoured

Kicks off in 11d 21h

46%