Premier League 2026/27 — Projected Final Table
Our AI's projected final Premier League 2026/27 table, simulated from every remaining fixture.
| # | Team | vs last week | avg Pts | avg GD | Title % | Top 4 % | Rel % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | – | 83.4 | +41.8 | 50.0 | 99.1 | 0.0 |
| 2 | Arsenal | – | 82.6 | +40.0 | 42.5 | 99.3 | 0.0 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion | – | 71.5 | +37.6 | 4.5 | 80.4 | 0.0 |
| 4 | Chelsea | – | 70.2 | +25.5 | 2.7 | 73.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | Liverpool | – | 63.1 | +13.7 | 0.2 | 26.8 | 0.0 |
| 6 | Brentford | – | 58.1 | +13.3 | 0.0 | 9.6 | 0.0 |
| 7 | Everton | – | 55.3 | +4.7 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 0.2 |
| 8 | Ipswich Town | ▲ 1 | 54.3 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.4 |
| 9 | Leeds United | ▼ 1 | 53.9 | +4.9 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| 10 | Manchester United | ▲ 1 | 49.6 | -0.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.1 |
| 11 | Newcastle United | ▼ 1 | 49.5 | -5.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.3 |
| 12 | Tottenham Hotspur | ▲ 2 | 42.7 | -13.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 15.5 |
| 13 | Hull City | ▼ 1 | 42.6 | -13.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.5 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | ▼ 1 | 41.2 | -20.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.3 |
| 15 | Aston Villa | ▲ 1 | 40.3 | -20.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.1 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | ▼ 1 | 39.8 | -15.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.3 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | – | 38.3 | -19.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.0 |
| 18 | Fulham | ▲ 1 | 37.2 | -18.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.3 |
| 19 | Sunderland | ▼ 1 | 35.8 | -24.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 52.2 |
| 20 | Coventry City | – | 34.7 | -29.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 60.4 |
Movement shows how each club's projected finish has changed since the previous weekly run.
Last updated: Tue, 20 Oct 2026
How this projection works
Every remaining fixture is simulated using FootyPulse's AI win / draw / away probability and predicted score, calibrated as a bivariate-Poisson so outcome and goal difference stay internally consistent. Completed fixtures contribute their real result.
This projection is a weekly snapshot, re-run automatically every Tuesday morning at 06:00 UK time, once the full gameweek (including Monday-night matches) is finished and results are synced. It doesn't update live during matches.
Each entry in the projection selector is the actual projection published at that moment — saved run by run and never recalculated. The list grows every week through the season.
Note: for 12 of 380 fixtures (3.2%), our model couldn't fully match both the predicted scoreline and the stated win / draw / away probabilities at the same time — we used the closest realistic match instead. This affects a small number of individual match simulations.