Premier League 2026/27 — Projected Final Table
Every remaining fixture is simulated using FootyPulse's AI win / draw / away probability and predicted score, calibrated as a bivariate-Poisson so outcome and goal difference stay internally consistent. Completed fixtures contribute their real result.
Iterations
10,000
Fixtures
380
Completed
0
Generated
20 Jul 2026, 20:09
Note: for 8 of 380 fixtures (2.1%), our model couldn't fully match both the predicted scoreline and the stated win / draw / away probabilities at the same time — we used the closest realistic match instead. This affects a small number of individual match simulations.
| # | Team | avg Pts | avg GD | Title % | Top 4 % | Rel % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 74.4 | +33.2 | 41.6 | 92.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 73.2 | +31.2 | 34.2 | 90.3 | 0.0 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 68.5 | +24.2 | 14.1 | 74.6 | 0.0 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 64.7 | +18.0 | 6.5 | 56.7 | 0.0 |
| 5 | Tottenham Hotspur | 58.2 | +9.0 | 1.2 | 22.4 | 0.6 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 58.1 | +8.6 | 1.2 | 23.0 | 0.9 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 57.3 | +7.8 | 0.9 | 19.0 | 1.0 |
| 8 | Newcastle United | 53.5 | +2.2 | 0.3 | 8.9 | 3.1 |
| 9 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 49.2 | -3.8 | 0.1 | 2.8 | 8.8 |
| 10 | Fulham | 48.6 | -5.5 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 10.1 |
| 11 | Nottingham Forest | 47.2 | -7.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 13.2 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 46.9 | -7.3 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 13.8 |
| 13 | Leeds United | 46.6 | -8.2 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 15.2 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 46.4 | -8.1 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 15.9 |
| 15 | Sunderland | 44.7 | -10.9 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 22.2 |
| 16 | Brentford | 43.8 | -12.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 26.3 |
| 17 | Ipswich Town | 41.5 | -16.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 37.3 |
| 18 | Coventry City | 40.7 | -18.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 41.4 |
| 19 | Everton | 40.2 | -17.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 43.6 |
| 20 | Hull City | 39.7 | -19.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 46.7 |