Newcastle United vs Arsenal — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Arsenal to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Arsenal arrive at St James' Park as clear favourites despite significant defensive absences, having won four of the last five H2H meetings including a 2-1 victory at this venue last September.
at 90 minutes · Newcastle United vs Arsenal
Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Newcastle v Arsenal by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Newcastle
- L17 Oct 2026vs Aston Villa0–1
- L12 Oct 2026at Coventry City1–4
- W19 Sept 2026vs Hull City2–1
- L14 Sept 2026at Leeds United1–4
- D5 Sept 2026vs Bournemouth2–2
1W 1D 3L over 5 matches · 6 scored, 12 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Arsenal
- W18 Oct 2026at Forest1–0
- W10 Oct 2026vs Leeds United2–1
- L19 Sept 2026at Brighton0–3
- W12 Sept 2026at Sunderland2–0
- W6 Sept 2026vs Chelsea2–1
4W 0D 1L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 2 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Newcastle 1 · 0 drawn · Arsenal 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Arsenal | 1–0 | Newcastle |
| 28 Sept 2025 | Newcastle | 1–2 | Arsenal |
| 27 Jul 2025 | Arsenal | 3–2 | Newcastle |
| 18 May 2025 | Arsenal | 1–0 | Newcastle |
| 5 Feb 2025 | Newcastle | 2–0 | Arsenal |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 55% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Newcastle United rating 1.0 vs Arsenal 1.4 across the last 5 matches.
Newcastle United play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 1-2 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Arsenal dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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Frequently asked
FAQNewcastle United vs Arsenal prediction
Arsenal arrive at St James' Park as clear favourites despite significant defensive absences, having won four of the last five H2H meetings including a 2-1 victory at this venue last September.
Who will win Newcastle United vs Arsenal?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Arsenal to win with a 55% probability.
When is Newcastle United vs Arsenal?
Kick-off: Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 17:30 UTC at St. James' Park.
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Arsenal favoured
Kicks off in 32d 17h