Arsenal vs Chelsea — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Arsenal to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Arsenal have won both fixtures from clear victories over mid-to-lower opposition — a 1-0 grind at Aston Villa and a comfortable 3-0 home win over Championship side Coventry — while Chelsea's two wins came in chaotic, high-scoring affairs against Brighton (4-3) and Fulham (3-2), conceding five goals in two matches and suggesting defensive fragility on the road.
at 90 minutes · Arsenal vs Chelsea
Updated 5 hrs ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Arsenal v Chelsea by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Arsenal
- W31 Aug 2026at Aston Villa1–0
- W21 Aug 2026vs Coventry City3–0
2W 0D 0L over 2 matches · 4 scored, 0 conceded · 2 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Chelsea
- W30 Aug 2026vs Brighton4–3
- W24 Aug 2026at Fulham3–2
2W 0D 0L over 2 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Arsenal 4 · 1 drawn · Chelsea 0
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | Arsenal | 2–1 | Chelsea |
| 3 Feb 2026 | Arsenal | 1–0 | Chelsea |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Chelsea | 2–3 | Arsenal |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Chelsea | 1–1 | Arsenal |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Arsenal | 1–0 | Chelsea |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 48% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Arsenal rating 1.8 vs Chelsea 1.8 across the last 5 matches.
Arsenal play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 2-1 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Arsenal dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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Frequently asked
FAQArsenal vs Chelsea prediction
Arsenal have won both fixtures from clear victories over mid-to-lower opposition — a 1-0 grind at Aston Villa and a comfortable 3-0 home win over Championship side Coventry — while Chelsea's two wins came in chaotic, high-scoring affairs against Brighton (4-3) and Fulham (3-2), conceding five goals in two matches and suggesting defensive fragility on the road.
Who will win Arsenal vs Chelsea?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Arsenal to win with a 48% probability.
When is Arsenal vs Chelsea?
Kick-off: Sunday, 6 September 2026 at 15:30 UTC at Emirates Stadium.
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Arsenal favoured
Kicks off in 1d 22h