Chelsea vs Leeds United — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Chelsea to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Chelsea enter this fixture with significant firepower — averaging three goals per game — but their defensive fragility (two conceded per match) and the absence of W.
at 90 minutes · Chelsea vs Leeds United
Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Chelsea v Leeds United by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Chelsea
- W17 Oct 2026at Everton2–0
- W10 Oct 2026vs Bournemouth5–1
- L18 Sept 2026at Brentford0–3
- D12 Sept 2026vs Hull City2–2
- L6 Sept 2026at Arsenal1–2
2W 1D 2L over 5 matches · 10 scored, 8 conceded · 1 clean sheet
Premier League 2026/27
Leeds United
- D18 Oct 2026vs Man United1–1
- L10 Oct 2026at Arsenal1–2
- D20 Sept 2026vs Crystal Palace0–0
- W14 Sept 2026vs Newcastle4–1
- D5 Sept 2026at Brighton1–1
1W 3D 1L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 1 clean sheet
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Chelsea 3 · 1 drawn · Leeds United 1
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2026 | Chelsea | 1–0 | Leeds United |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Chelsea | 2–2 | Leeds United |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Leeds United | 3–1 | Chelsea |
| 28 Feb 2024 | Chelsea | 3–2 | Leeds United |
| 4 Mar 2023 | Chelsea | 1–0 | Leeds United |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 58% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Chelsea rating 1.4 vs Leeds United 1.4 across the last 5 matches.
Chelsea play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 2-1 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Chelsea dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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FAQChelsea vs Leeds United prediction
Chelsea enter this fixture with significant firepower — averaging three goals per game — but their defensive fragility (two conceded per match) and the absence of W.
Who will win Chelsea vs Leeds United?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Chelsea to win with a 58% probability.
When is Chelsea vs Leeds United?
Kick-off: Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC at Stamford Bridge.
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Chelsea favoured
Kicks off in 32d 17h