Newcastle United vs Aston VillaPremier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 7
17 OctoberSt. James' ParkKicks off in 42d 23h 6m
Featured Prediction

Newcastle United to win

68%High confidence
Newcastle United win68%
Draw20%
Aston Villa win12%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Newcastle United held Liverpool to a 2-2 draw at home in their opening fixture, a credible result against a perennial top-six side that validates their attacking output (2.0 goals/game).
Predicted final score
3 1

at 90 minutes · Newcastle United vs Aston Villa

Updated 8 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
3 for Newcastle United · 1 for Aston Villa
Predicted margin
0
2-goal edge to Newcastle United
Match tempo
High-scoring
Open, chances at both ends

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Key stats

Newcastle v Aston Villa by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

NewcastleAston Villa
1-1-0League record (W-D-L)0-0-2
4 / 2Goals for / against0 / 5
4 ptsPoints0 pts
#6League position#19
1 of 2Clean sheets (last 5)0 of 2
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Newcastle

WD
  • W29 Aug 2026at Spurs20
  • D23 Aug 2026vs Liverpool22

1W 1D 0L over 2 matches · 4 scored, 2 conceded · 1 clean sheet

Premier League 2026/27

Aston Villa

LL
  • L31 Aug 2026vs Arsenal01
  • L23 Aug 2026at Brighton04

0W 0D 2L over 2 matches · 0 scored, 5 conceded · 0 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 2 v last 2
Scored per match
Newcastle2.00
Aston Villa0.00
Conceded per match
Newcastle1.00
Aston Villa2.50
Head to head

Last 5 meetings

Newcastle 2 · 1 drawn · Aston Villa 2

DateHomeScoreAway
14 Feb 2026Aston Villa1–3Newcastle
25 Jan 2026Newcastle0–2Aston Villa
16 Aug 2025Aston Villa0–0Newcastle
19 Apr 2025Aston Villa4–1Newcastle
26 Dec 2024Newcastle3–0Aston Villa
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 68% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Low influenceBalanced

Newcastle United rating 1.0 vs Aston Villa 0.8 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Newcastle United

Newcastle United play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 3-1 implies goals at both ends.

Possession Projection
Newcastle United ~65%

Prediction advantage suggests Newcastle United dictate the tempo.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa prediction

Newcastle United held Liverpool to a 2-2 draw at home in their opening fixture, a credible result against a perennial top-six side that validates their attacking output (2.0 goals/game).

Who will win Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Newcastle United to win with a 68% probability.

When is Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?

Kick-off: Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 16:30 UTC at St. James' Park.

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Newcastle United favoured

Kicks off in 42d 23h

68%