Aston Villa vs Manchester City — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Manchester City to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Aston Villa arrive in crisis, shipping four goals without reply at Brighton last weekend and missing nine senior players including first-choice goalkeeper Emiliano Martínez, striker Ollie Watkins, and creative midfielders Amadou Onana and Leon Bailey.
at 90 minutes · Aston Villa vs Manchester City
Updated 8 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Aston Villa v Man City by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Aston Villa
- L31 Aug 2026vs Arsenal0–1
- L23 Aug 2026at Brighton0–4
0W 0D 2L over 2 matches · 0 scored, 5 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Man City
- W28 Aug 2026at Crystal Palace4–1
- W23 Aug 2026vs Bournemouth2–1
2W 0D 0L over 2 matches · 6 scored, 2 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Aston Villa 3 · 0 drawn · Man City 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 2026 | Man City | 1–2 | Aston Villa |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Aston Villa | 1–0 | Man City |
| 22 Apr 2025 | Man City | 2–1 | Aston Villa |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Aston Villa | 2–1 | Man City |
| 3 Apr 2024 | Man City | 4–1 | Aston Villa |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 58% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Aston Villa rating 0.8 vs Manchester City 1.4 across the last 5 matches.
Aston Villa play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 1-3 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Manchester City dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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FAQAston Villa vs Manchester City prediction
Aston Villa arrive in crisis, shipping four goals without reply at Brighton last weekend and missing nine senior players including first-choice goalkeeper Emiliano Martínez, striker Ollie Watkins, and creative midfielders Amadou Onana and Leon Bailey.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Manchester City?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Manchester City to win with a 58% probability.
When is Aston Villa vs Manchester City?
Kick-off: Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 11:30 UTC at Villa Park.
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Manchester City favoured
Kicks off in 49d 17h