Sunderland vs Leeds United — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Sunderland to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Sunderland's opening-day defeat at Ipswich exposes defensive fragility (conceding 2.0 per game on average), compounded by the absence of centre-back Omar Alderete through muscle injury and attacking width from Simon Adingra's foot injury.
at 90 minutes · Sunderland vs Leeds United
Updated 8 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Sunderland v Leeds United by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Sunderland
- W30 Aug 2026vs Fulham1–0
- L22 Aug 2026at Ipswich Town1–2
1W 0D 1L over 2 matches · 2 scored, 2 conceded · 1 clean sheet
Premier League 2026/27
Leeds United
- D30 Aug 2026vs Brentford1–1
- W22 Aug 2026at Forest1–0
1W 1D 0L over 2 matches · 2 scored, 1 conceded · 1 clean sheet
Premier League 2026/27
Last 6 meetings
Sunderland 1 · 3 drawn · Leeds United 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | Sunderland | 0–1 | Leeds United |
| 3 Mar 2026 | Leeds United | 0–1 | Sunderland |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 1–1 | Leeds United |
| 17 Feb 2025 | Leeds United | 2–1 | Sunderland |
| 4 Oct 2024 | Sunderland | 2–2 | Leeds United |
| 9 Apr 2024 | Leeds United | 0–0 | Sunderland |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 34% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Sunderland rating 0.8 vs Leeds United 1.4 across the last 5 matches.
Sunderland play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 2-1 implies goals at both ends.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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FAQSunderland vs Leeds United prediction
Sunderland's opening-day defeat at Ipswich exposes defensive fragility (conceding 2.0 per game on average), compounded by the absence of centre-back Omar Alderete through muscle injury and attacking width from Simon Adingra's foot injury.
Who will win Sunderland vs Leeds United?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Sunderland to win with a 34% probability.
When is Sunderland vs Leeds United?
Kick-off: Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 16:30 UTC at Stadium of Light.
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Sunderland favoured
Kicks off in 50d 23h