Chelsea vs Manchester UnitedPremier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 9
31 OctoberStamford BridgeKicks off in 56d 19h 52m
Featured Prediction

Chelsea to win

58%Moderate confidence
Chelsea win58%
Draw24%
Manchester United win18%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Chelsea arrive having beaten Fulham 3-2 away in their season opener, while Manchester United suffered a damaging 0-2 defeat at Hull City — form that suggests a significant gulf heading into this fixture.
Predicted final score
2 1

at 90 minutes · Chelsea vs Manchester United

Updated 8 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
2 for Chelsea · 1 for Manchester United
Predicted margin
0
1-goal edge to Chelsea
Match tempo
Balanced
Measured, decided by moments
Match closeness
Clear favourite
40-point gap — the favourite is strongly expected

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Key stats

Chelsea v Man United by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

ChelseaMan United
2-0-0League record (W-D-L)1-0-1
7 / 5Goals for / against5 / 4
6 ptsPoints3 pts
#4League position#10
0 of 2Clean sheets (last 5)0 of 2
C. Palmer (2)Top scorerB. Fernandes (3)
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Chelsea

WW
  • W30 Aug 2026vs Brighton43
  • W24 Aug 2026at Fulham32

2W 0D 0L over 2 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 0 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Man United

WL
  • W30 Aug 2026vs Ipswich Town52
  • L22 Aug 2026at Hull City02

1W 0D 1L over 2 matches · 5 scored, 4 conceded · 0 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 2 v last 2
Scored per match
Chelsea3.50
Man United2.50
Conceded per match
Chelsea2.50
Man United2.00
Head to head

Last 5 meetings

Chelsea 2 · 1 drawn · Man United 2

DateHomeScoreAway
18 Apr 2026Chelsea0–1Man United
20 Sept 2025Man United2–1Chelsea
16 May 2025Chelsea1–0Man United
3 Nov 2024Man United1–1Chelsea
4 Apr 2024Chelsea4–3Man United
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 58% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Medium influenceFavours Chelsea

Chelsea rating 1.4 vs Manchester United 0.8 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Chelsea

Chelsea play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 2-1 implies goals at both ends.

Possession Projection
Chelsea ~65%

Prediction advantage suggests Chelsea dictate the tempo.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction

Chelsea arrive having beaten Fulham 3-2 away in their season opener, while Manchester United suffered a damaging 0-2 defeat at Hull City — form that suggests a significant gulf heading into this fixture.

Who will win Chelsea vs Manchester United?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Chelsea to win with a 58% probability.

When is Chelsea vs Manchester United?

Kick-off: Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 12:30 UTC at Stamford Bridge.

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Chelsea favoured

Kicks off in 56d 19h

58%