Everton vs ChelseaPremier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 7
Everton

Everton

vs
12:30 BST
Chelsea

Chelsea

17 OctoberHill Dickinson StadiumKicks off in 42d 18h 54m
Featured Prediction

Everton to win

38%Low confidence
Everton win38%
Draw26%
Chelsea win36%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Chelsea arrive averaging three goals per game and boasting a perfect away record, though that sample is thin — a 3-2 win at Fulham suggests vulnerability in transition despite their attacking threat.
Predicted final score
3 2

at 90 minutes · Everton vs Chelsea

Updated 8 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
3 for Everton · 2 for Chelsea
Predicted margin
0
1-goal edge to Everton
Match tempo
High-scoring
Open, chances at both ends
Match closeness
Tight
Only 12 points separate the outcomes — this one could go either way

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Key stats

Everton v Chelsea by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

EvertonChelsea
1-1-0League record (W-D-L)2-0-0
3 / 1Goals for / against7 / 5
4 ptsPoints6 pts
#7League position#4
1 of 2Clean sheets (last 5)0 of 2
K. Dewsbury-Hall (1)Top scorerC. Palmer (2)
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Everton

DW
  • D29 Aug 2026at Bournemouth11
  • W22 Aug 2026vs Crystal Palace20

1W 1D 0L over 2 matches · 3 scored, 1 conceded · 1 clean sheet

Premier League 2026/27

Chelsea

WW
  • W30 Aug 2026vs Brighton43
  • W24 Aug 2026at Fulham32

2W 0D 0L over 2 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 0 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 2 v last 2
Scored per match
Everton1.50
Chelsea3.50
Conceded per match
Everton0.50
Chelsea2.50
Head to head

Last 5 meetings

Everton 1 · 1 drawn · Chelsea 3

DateHomeScoreAway
21 Mar 2026Everton3–0Chelsea
13 Dec 2025Chelsea2–0Everton
26 Apr 2025Chelsea1–0Everton
22 Dec 2024Everton0–0Chelsea
15 Apr 2024Chelsea6–0Everton
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 38% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Low influenceBalanced

Everton rating 1.4 vs Chelsea 1.4 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Everton

Everton play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 3-2 implies goals at both ends.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Everton vs Chelsea prediction

Chelsea arrive averaging three goals per game and boasting a perfect away record, though that sample is thin — a 3-2 win at Fulham suggests vulnerability in transition despite their attacking threat.

Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Everton to win with a 38% probability.

When is Everton vs Chelsea?

Kick-off: Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 11:30 UTC at Hill Dickinson Stadium.

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Everton favoured

Kicks off in 42d 18h

38%