Arsenal vs Leeds United — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Arsenal to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Arsenal's 3-0 dismantling of Coventry at the Emirates extends their perfect home record (3.00 goals/game, 0.60 conceded), while Leeds' 1-0 away win at Nottingham Forest represents competent game management rather than attacking threat — their 1.00 goals/game away average sits two goals below Arsenal's home output.
at 90 minutes · Arsenal vs Leeds United
Updated 8 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Arsenal v Leeds United by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Arsenal
- W31 Aug 2026at Aston Villa1–0
- W21 Aug 2026vs Coventry City3–0
2W 0D 0L over 2 matches · 4 scored, 0 conceded · 2 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Leeds United
- D30 Aug 2026vs Brentford1–1
- W22 Aug 2026at Forest1–0
1W 1D 0L over 2 matches · 2 scored, 1 conceded · 1 clean sheet
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Arsenal 5 · 0 drawn · Leeds United 0
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Leeds United | 0–4 | Arsenal |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Arsenal | 5–0 | Leeds United |
| 1 Apr 2023 | Arsenal | 4–1 | Leeds United |
| 16 Oct 2022 | Leeds United | 0–1 | Arsenal |
| 8 May 2022 | Arsenal | 2–1 | Leeds United |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 72% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Arsenal rating 1.4 vs Leeds United 1.4 across the last 5 matches.
Arsenal play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
The prediction expects Arsenal to keep it tidy at the back.
Prediction advantage suggests Arsenal dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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FAQArsenal vs Leeds United prediction
Arsenal's 3-0 dismantling of Coventry at the Emirates extends their perfect home record (3.00 goals/game, 0.60 conceded), while Leeds' 1-0 away win at Nottingham Forest represents competent game management rather than attacking threat — their 1.00 goals/game away average sits two goals below Arsenal's home output.
Who will win Arsenal vs Leeds United?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Arsenal to win with a 72% probability.
When is Arsenal vs Leeds United?
Kick-off: Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 11:30 UTC at Emirates Stadium.
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Arsenal favoured
Kicks off in 35d 18h