Aston Villa vs Sunderland — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 11
21 NovemberVilla ParkKicks off in 32d 21h 39m
Featured Prediction

Aston Villa to win

58%Moderate confidence
Aston Villa win58%
Draw26%
Sunderland win16%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Aston Villa arrive in catastrophic form after a 4-0 hammering at Brighton, but their home record this season (63% win rate, 1.70 goals/game) stands in stark contrast to Sunderland's abysmal away record (0% win rate, 2.00 conceded/game).
Predicted final score
2 – 1

at 90 minutes · Aston Villa vs Sunderland

Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
2 for Aston Villa · 1 for Sunderland
Predicted margin
0
1-goal edge to Aston Villa
Match tempo
Balanced
Measured, decided by moments

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Key stats

Aston Villa v Sunderland by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

Aston VillaSunderland
2-2-3League record (W-D-L)1-1-5
7 / 11Goals for / against6 / 14
8 ptsPoints4 pts
#12League position#19
0-1-2 at homeHome / away record0-1-3 away
2 of 5Clean sheets (last 5)0 of 5
Johan Manzambi (2)Top scorerBrian Brobbey (3)
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Aston Villa

WDWLD
  • W17 Oct 2026at Newcastle1–0
  • D10 Oct 2026vs Brentford2–2
  • W19 Sept 2026at Spurs3–2
  • L12 Sept 2026vs Forest1–2
  • D5 Sept 2026at Hull City0–0

2W 2D 1L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 6 conceded · 2 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Sunderland

LLLLD
  • L18 Oct 2026at Bournemouth0–2
  • L10 Oct 2026vs Brighton0–2
  • L20 Sept 2026at Man City3–5
  • L12 Sept 2026vs Arsenal0–2
  • D5 Sept 2026at Brentford1–1

0W 1D 4L over 5 matches · 4 scored, 12 conceded · 0 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 5 v last 5
Scored per match
Aston Villa1.40
Sunderland0.80
Conceded per match
Aston Villa1.20
Sunderland2.40
Head to head

Last 5 meetings

Aston Villa 3 · 1 drawn · Sunderland 1

DateHomeScoreAway
19 Apr 2026Aston Villa4–3Sunderland
21 Sept 2025Sunderland1–1Aston Villa
6 Mar 2018Sunderland0–3Aston Villa
21 Nov 2017Aston Villa2–1Sunderland
2 Jan 2016Sunderland3–1Aston Villa
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 58% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Low influenceBalanced

Aston Villa rating 0.8 vs Sunderland 0.8 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Aston Villa

Aston Villa play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 2-1 implies goals at both ends.

Possession Projection
Aston Villa ~65%

Prediction advantage suggests Aston Villa dictate the tempo.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Aston Villa vs Sunderland prediction

Aston Villa arrive in catastrophic form after a 4-0 hammering at Brighton, but their home record this season (63% win rate, 1.70 goals/game) stands in stark contrast to Sunderland's abysmal away record (0% win rate, 2.00 conceded/game).

Who will win Aston Villa vs Sunderland?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Aston Villa to win with a 58% probability.

When is Aston Villa vs Sunderland?

Kick-off: Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC at Villa Park.

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Aston Villa favoured

Kicks off in 32d 21h

58%