Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Arsenal to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Arsenal arrive at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in commanding form, having dismantled Coventry City 3-0 in their season opener, while Spurs were dismantled 3-0 at Brentford — a result that exposes defensive fragility averaging 3.0 goals conceded per game and a worrying 16% home win rate.
at 90 minutes · Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal
Updated 8 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Spurs v Arsenal by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Spurs
- L29 Aug 2026vs Newcastle0–2
- L22 Aug 2026at Brentford0–3
0W 0D 2L over 2 matches · 0 scored, 5 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Arsenal
- W31 Aug 2026at Aston Villa1–0
- W21 Aug 2026vs Coventry City3–0
2W 0D 0L over 2 matches · 4 scored, 0 conceded · 2 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Spurs 1 · 0 drawn · Arsenal 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | Spurs | 1–4 | Arsenal |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Arsenal | 4–1 | Spurs |
| 31 Jul 2025 | Arsenal | 0–1 | Spurs |
| 15 Jan 2025 | Arsenal | 2–1 | Spurs |
| 15 Sept 2024 | Spurs | 0–1 | Arsenal |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 60% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Tottenham Hotspur rating 0.8 vs Arsenal 1.4 across the last 5 matches.
Tottenham Hotspur play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 1-3 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Arsenal dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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FAQTottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal prediction
Arsenal arrive at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in commanding form, having dismantled Coventry City 3-0 in their season opener, while Spurs were dismantled 3-0 at Brentford — a result that exposes defensive fragility averaging 3.0 goals conceded per game and a worrying 16% home win rate.
Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Arsenal to win with a 60% probability.
When is Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal?
Kick-off: Saturday, 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
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Arsenal favoured
Kicks off in 91d 22h