Sunderland vs Newcastle United — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Sunderland to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Sunderland carry stronger recent momentum with back-to-back wins closing their last five, while Newcastle's form has deteriorated with defeats bookending a single victory — the raw W-D-L doesn't tell the full story without opponent context, but the head-to-head tilts heavily toward the home side with 2-1 and 1-0 wins in the last two Tyne-Wear derbies.
Updated 5 days ago · FootyPulse AI
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Why the AI is confident
A look at the 48% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the forecast.
Sunderland rating 1.6 vs Newcastle United 1.4 across the last 5 matches.
Sunderland play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline forecast
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Forecast advantage suggests Sunderland dictate the tempo.
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FAQSunderland vs Newcastle United prediction
Sunderland carry stronger recent momentum with back-to-back wins closing their last five, while Newcastle's form has deteriorated with defeats bookending a single victory — the raw W-D-L doesn't tell the full story without opponent context, but the head-to-head tilts heavily toward the home side with 2-1 and 1-0 wins in the last two Tyne-Wear derbies.
Who will win Sunderland vs Newcastle United?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Sunderland to win with a 48% probability.
When is Sunderland vs Newcastle United?
Kick-off: Saturday, 1 May 2027 at 14:00 UTC at Stadium of Light.
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Sunderland favoured
Kicks off in 283d 23h