Sunderland vs Newcastle United — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Newcastle United to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Sunderland's narrow opening-day defeat at Ipswich Town (1-2) leaves them fragile heading into the Tyne-Wear derby, while Newcastle United's credible 2-2 home draw against Liverpool suggests they've carried momentum into the new campaign.
at 90 minutes · Sunderland vs Newcastle United
Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Sunderland v Newcastle by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Sunderland
- L18 Oct 2026at Bournemouth0–2
- L10 Oct 2026vs Brighton0–2
- L20 Sept 2026at Man City3–5
- L12 Sept 2026vs Arsenal0–2
- D5 Sept 2026at Brentford1–1
0W 1D 4L over 5 matches · 4 scored, 12 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Newcastle
- L17 Oct 2026vs Aston Villa0–1
- L12 Oct 2026at Coventry City1–4
- W19 Sept 2026vs Hull City2–1
- L14 Sept 2026at Leeds United1–4
- D5 Sept 2026vs Bournemouth2–2
1W 1D 3L over 5 matches · 6 scored, 12 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Sunderland 3 · 1 drawn · Newcastle 1
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | Newcastle | 1–2 | Sunderland |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 1–0 | Newcastle |
| 6 Jan 2024 | Sunderland | 0–3 | Newcastle |
| 20 Mar 2016 | Newcastle | 1–1 | Sunderland |
| 25 Oct 2015 | Sunderland | 3–0 | Newcastle |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 38% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Sunderland rating 0.8 vs Newcastle United 1.0 across the last 5 matches.
Sunderland play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 1-2 implies goals at both ends.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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FAQSunderland vs Newcastle United prediction
Sunderland's narrow opening-day defeat at Ipswich Town (1-2) leaves them fragile heading into the Tyne-Wear derby, while Newcastle United's credible 2-2 home draw against Liverpool suggests they've carried momentum into the new campaign.
Who will win Sunderland vs Newcastle United?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Newcastle United to win with a 38% probability.
When is Sunderland vs Newcastle United?
Kick-off: Saturday, 1 May 2027 at 14:00 UTC at Stadium of Light.
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Newcastle United favoured
Kicks off in 193d 20h