Newcastle United vs Sunderland — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Newcastle United to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Newcastle United enter this Tyne-Wear derby having drawn 2-2 with Liverpool at home in their opening fixture, while Sunderland lost 1-2 away at Ipswich Town — a result that underscores their poor away record of zero wins, one goal scored per game, and two conceded on the road.
at 90 minutes · Newcastle United vs Sunderland
Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Newcastle v Sunderland by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Newcastle
- L17 Oct 2026vs Aston Villa0–1
- L12 Oct 2026at Coventry City1–4
- W19 Sept 2026vs Hull City2–1
- L14 Sept 2026at Leeds United1–4
- D5 Sept 2026vs Bournemouth2–2
1W 1D 3L over 5 matches · 6 scored, 12 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Sunderland
- L18 Oct 2026at Bournemouth0–2
- L10 Oct 2026vs Brighton0–2
- L20 Sept 2026at Man City3–5
- L12 Sept 2026vs Arsenal0–2
- D5 Sept 2026at Brentford1–1
0W 1D 4L over 5 matches · 4 scored, 12 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Newcastle 1 · 1 drawn · Sunderland 3
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | Newcastle | 1–2 | Sunderland |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 1–0 | Newcastle |
| 6 Jan 2024 | Sunderland | 0–3 | Newcastle |
| 20 Mar 2016 | Newcastle | 1–1 | Sunderland |
| 25 Oct 2015 | Sunderland | 3–0 | Newcastle |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 58% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Newcastle United rating 1.0 vs Sunderland 0.8 across the last 5 matches.
Newcastle United play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 2-1 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Newcastle United dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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Frequently asked
FAQNewcastle United vs Sunderland prediction
Newcastle United enter this Tyne-Wear derby having drawn 2-2 with Liverpool at home in their opening fixture, while Sunderland lost 1-2 away at Ipswich Town — a result that underscores their poor away record of zero wins, one goal scored per game, and two conceded on the road.
Who will win Newcastle United vs Sunderland?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Newcastle United to win with a 58% probability.
When is Newcastle United vs Sunderland?
Kick-off: Saturday, 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC at St. James' Park.
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Newcastle United favoured
Kicks off in 46d 19h