Newcastle United vs Manchester United — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Newcastle United to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Newcastle United enter this fixture having held Liverpool to a 2-2 draw at St James' Park, while Manchester United suffered a damaging 0-2 defeat at Hull City — context that heavily favours the hosts despite their 0% home win rate statistic being drawn from a single-game sample.
at 90 minutes · Newcastle United vs Manchester United
Updated 8 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Newcastle v Man United by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Newcastle
- W29 Aug 2026at Spurs2–0
- D23 Aug 2026vs Liverpool2–2
1W 1D 0L over 2 matches · 4 scored, 2 conceded · 1 clean sheet
Premier League 2026/27
Man United
- W30 Aug 2026vs Ipswich Town5–2
- L22 Aug 2026at Hull City0–2
1W 0D 1L over 2 matches · 5 scored, 4 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Newcastle 3 · 0 drawn · Man United 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | Newcastle | 2–1 | Man United |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Man United | 1–0 | Newcastle |
| 13 Apr 2025 | Newcastle | 4–1 | Man United |
| 30 Dec 2024 | Man United | 0–2 | Newcastle |
| 15 May 2024 | Man United | 3–2 | Newcastle |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 48% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Newcastle United rating 1.0 vs Manchester United 0.8 across the last 5 matches.
Newcastle United play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 2-1 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Newcastle United dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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Frequently asked
FAQNewcastle United vs Manchester United prediction
Newcastle United enter this fixture having held Liverpool to a 2-2 draw at St James' Park, while Manchester United suffered a damaging 0-2 defeat at Hull City — context that heavily favours the hosts despite their 0% home win rate statistic being drawn from a single-game sample.
Who will win Newcastle United vs Manchester United?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Newcastle United to win with a 48% probability.
When is Newcastle United vs Manchester United?
Kick-off: Wednesday, 2 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC at St. James' Park.
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Newcastle United favoured
Kicks off in 89d 1h