Newcastle United vs Manchester City — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 17
26 DecemberSt. James' ParkKicks off in 67d 20h 17m
Featured Prediction

Manchester City to win

52%Moderate confidence
Newcastle United win22%
Draw26%
Manchester City win52%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Manchester City arrive at St James' Park having won four of the last five head-to-head meetings, and despite showing only one result in recent data, their 2-1 home victory over Bournemouth demonstrates clinical edge.
Predicted final score
1 – 2

at 90 minutes · Newcastle United vs Manchester City

Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
1 for Newcastle United · 2 for Manchester City
Predicted margin
0
1-goal edge to Manchester City
Match tempo
Balanced
Measured, decided by moments
Match closeness
Close
30-point gap between the favourite and the underdog

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Key stats

Newcastle v Man City by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

NewcastleMan City
2-2-3League record (W-D-L)7-0-0
10 / 14Goals for / against19 / 7
8 ptsPoints21 pts
#11League position#1
1-2-1 at homeHome / away record3-0-0 away
0 of 5Clean sheets (last 5)3 of 5
Yoane Wissa (2)Top scorerErling Haaland (6)
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Newcastle

LLWLD
  • L17 Oct 2026vs Aston Villa0–1
  • L12 Oct 2026at Coventry City1–4
  • W19 Sept 2026vs Hull City2–1
  • L14 Sept 2026at Leeds United1–4
  • D5 Sept 2026vs Bournemouth2–2

1W 1D 3L over 5 matches · 6 scored, 12 conceded · 0 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Man City

WWWWW
  • W17 Oct 2026vs Ipswich Town3–2
  • W11 Oct 2026at Liverpool3–0
  • W20 Sept 2026vs Sunderland5–3
  • W13 Sept 2026at Man United1–0
  • W5 Sept 2026vs Coventry City1–0

5W 0D 0L over 5 matches · 13 scored, 5 conceded · 3 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 5 v last 5
Scored per match
Newcastle1.20
Man City2.60
Conceded per match
Newcastle2.40
Man City1.00
Head to head

Last 5 meetings

Newcastle 1 · 0 drawn · Man City 4

DateHomeScoreAway
7 Mar 2026Newcastle1–3Man City
21 Feb 2026Man City2–1Newcastle
4 Feb 2026Man City3–1Newcastle
13 Jan 2026Newcastle0–2Man City
22 Nov 2025Newcastle2–1Man City
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 52% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Low influenceFavours Manchester City

Newcastle United rating 1.0 vs Manchester City 1.4 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Newcastle United

Newcastle United play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 1-2 implies goals at both ends.

Possession Projection
Manchester City ~65%

Prediction advantage suggests Manchester City dictate the tempo.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Newcastle United vs Manchester City prediction

Manchester City arrive at St James' Park having won four of the last five head-to-head meetings, and despite showing only one result in recent data, their 2-1 home victory over Bournemouth demonstrates clinical edge.

Who will win Newcastle United vs Manchester City?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Manchester City to win with a 52% probability.

When is Newcastle United vs Manchester City?

Kick-off: Saturday, 26 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC at St. James' Park.

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Manchester City favoured

Kicks off in 67d 20h

52%