Newcastle United vs Manchester City — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Manchester City to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Manchester City arrive at St James' Park having won four of the last five head-to-head meetings, and despite showing only one result in recent data, their 2-1 home victory over Bournemouth demonstrates clinical edge.
at 90 minutes · Newcastle United vs Manchester City
Updated 8 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Newcastle v Man City by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Newcastle
- W29 Aug 2026at Spurs2–0
- D23 Aug 2026vs Liverpool2–2
1W 1D 0L over 2 matches · 4 scored, 2 conceded · 1 clean sheet
Premier League 2026/27
Man City
- W28 Aug 2026at Crystal Palace4–1
- W23 Aug 2026vs Bournemouth2–1
2W 0D 0L over 2 matches · 6 scored, 2 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Newcastle 1 · 0 drawn · Man City 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | Newcastle | 1–3 | Man City |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Man City | 2–1 | Newcastle |
| 4 Feb 2026 | Man City | 3–1 | Newcastle |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Newcastle | 0–2 | Man City |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Newcastle | 2–1 | Man City |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 52% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Newcastle United rating 1.0 vs Manchester City 1.4 across the last 5 matches.
Newcastle United play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 1-2 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Manchester City dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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Frequently asked
FAQNewcastle United vs Manchester City prediction
Manchester City arrive at St James' Park having won four of the last five head-to-head meetings, and despite showing only one result in recent data, their 2-1 home victory over Bournemouth demonstrates clinical edge.
Who will win Newcastle United vs Manchester City?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Manchester City to win with a 52% probability.
When is Newcastle United vs Manchester City?
Kick-off: Saturday, 26 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC at St. James' Park.
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Manchester City favoured
Kicks off in 112d 22h