Newcastle United vs Leeds UnitedPremier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 30
20 MarchSt James’ ParkKicks off in 196d 22h 21m
Featured Prediction

Newcastle United to win

48%Toss-up
Newcastle United win48%
Draw28%
Leeds United win24%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Newcastle United opened their campaign with a 2-2 draw against Liverpool at home, a creditable result against elite opposition that demonstrates their competitive edge but also defensive fragility.
Predicted final score
2 1

at 90 minutes · Newcastle United vs Leeds United

Updated 8 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
2 for Newcastle United · 1 for Leeds United
Predicted margin
0
1-goal edge to Newcastle United
Match tempo
Balanced
Measured, decided by moments
Match closeness
Close
24-point gap between the favourite and the underdog

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Key stats

Newcastle v Leeds United by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

NewcastleLeeds United
1-1-0League record (W-D-L)1-1-0
4 / 2Goals for / against2 / 1
4 ptsPoints4 pts
#6League position#8
1 of 2Clean sheets (last 5)1 of 2
A. Elanga (1)Top scorerA. Stach (1)
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Newcastle

WD
  • W29 Aug 2026at Spurs20
  • D23 Aug 2026vs Liverpool22

1W 1D 0L over 2 matches · 4 scored, 2 conceded · 1 clean sheet

Premier League 2026/27

Leeds United

DW
  • D30 Aug 2026vs Brentford11
  • W22 Aug 2026at Forest10

1W 1D 0L over 2 matches · 2 scored, 1 conceded · 1 clean sheet

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 2 v last 2
Scored per match
Newcastle2.00
Leeds United1.00
Conceded per match
Newcastle1.00
Leeds United0.50
Head to head

Last 5 meetings

Newcastle 2 · 3 drawn · Leeds United 0

DateHomeScoreAway
7 Jan 2026Newcastle4–3Leeds United
30 Aug 2025Leeds United0–0Newcastle
13 May 2023Leeds United2–2Newcastle
31 Dec 2022Newcastle0–0Leeds United
22 Jan 2022Leeds United0–1Newcastle
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 48% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Low influenceFavours Leeds United

Newcastle United rating 1.0 vs Leeds United 1.4 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Newcastle United

Newcastle United play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 2-1 implies goals at both ends.

Possession Projection
Newcastle United ~62%

Prediction advantage suggests Newcastle United dictate the tempo.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Newcastle United vs Leeds United prediction

Newcastle United opened their campaign with a 2-2 draw against Liverpool at home, a creditable result against elite opposition that demonstrates their competitive edge but also defensive fragility.

Who will win Newcastle United vs Leeds United?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Newcastle United to win with a 48% probability.

When is Newcastle United vs Leeds United?

Kick-off: Saturday, 20 March 2027 at 15:00 UTC at St James’ Park.

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Newcastle United favoured

Kicks off in 196d 22h

48%