Newcastle United vs Leeds United — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 30
20 MarchSt James' ParkKicks off in 151d 17h 58m
Featured Prediction

Newcastle United to win

48%Toss-up
Newcastle United win48%
Draw28%
Leeds United win24%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Newcastle United opened their campaign with a 2-2 draw against Liverpool at home, a creditable result against elite opposition that demonstrates their competitive edge but also defensive fragility.
Predicted final score
2 – 1

at 90 minutes · Newcastle United vs Leeds United

Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
2 for Newcastle United · 1 for Leeds United
Predicted margin
0
1-goal edge to Newcastle United
Match tempo
Balanced
Measured, decided by moments
Match closeness
Close
24-point gap between the favourite and the underdog

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Key stats

Newcastle v Leeds United by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

NewcastleLeeds United
2-2-3League record (W-D-L)2-4-1
10 / 14Goals for / against9 / 6
8 ptsPoints10 pts
#11League position#7
1-2-1 at homeHome / away record1-1-1 away
0 of 5Clean sheets (last 5)1 of 5
Yoane Wissa (2)Top scorerD. Calvert-Lewin (2)
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Newcastle

LLWLD
  • L17 Oct 2026vs Aston Villa0–1
  • L12 Oct 2026at Coventry City1–4
  • W19 Sept 2026vs Hull City2–1
  • L14 Sept 2026at Leeds United1–4
  • D5 Sept 2026vs Bournemouth2–2

1W 1D 3L over 5 matches · 6 scored, 12 conceded · 0 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Leeds United

DLDWD
  • D18 Oct 2026vs Man United1–1
  • L10 Oct 2026at Arsenal1–2
  • D20 Sept 2026vs Crystal Palace0–0
  • W14 Sept 2026vs Newcastle4–1
  • D5 Sept 2026at Brighton1–1

1W 3D 1L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 1 clean sheet

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 5 v last 5
Scored per match
Newcastle1.20
Leeds United1.40
Conceded per match
Newcastle2.40
Leeds United1.00
Head to head

Last 5 meetings

Newcastle 2 · 3 drawn · Leeds United 0

DateHomeScoreAway
7 Jan 2026Newcastle4–3Leeds United
30 Aug 2025Leeds United0–0Newcastle
13 May 2023Leeds United2–2Newcastle
31 Dec 2022Newcastle0–0Leeds United
22 Jan 2022Leeds United0–1Newcastle
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 48% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Low influenceFavours Leeds United

Newcastle United rating 1.0 vs Leeds United 1.4 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Newcastle United

Newcastle United play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 2-1 implies goals at both ends.

Possession Projection
Newcastle United ~62%

Prediction advantage suggests Newcastle United dictate the tempo.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Newcastle United vs Leeds United prediction

Newcastle United opened their campaign with a 2-2 draw against Liverpool at home, a creditable result against elite opposition that demonstrates their competitive edge but also defensive fragility.

Who will win Newcastle United vs Leeds United?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Newcastle United to win with a 48% probability.

When is Newcastle United vs Leeds United?

Kick-off: Saturday, 20 March 2027 at 15:00 UTC at St James' Park.

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Newcastle United favoured

Kicks off in 151d 17h

48%