Newcastle United vs Chelsea — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 25
10 FebruarySt James’ ParkKicks off in 114d 2h 37m
Featured Prediction

Chelsea to win

40%Toss-up
Newcastle United win32%
Draw28%
Chelsea win40%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Chelsea arrive at St.
Predicted final score
2 – 3

at 90 minutes · Newcastle United vs Chelsea

Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
2 for Newcastle United · 3 for Chelsea
Predicted margin
0
1-goal edge to Chelsea
Match tempo
High-scoring
Open, chances at both ends
Match closeness
Tight
Only 12 points separate the outcomes — this one could go either way

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Key stats

Newcastle v Chelsea by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

NewcastleChelsea
2-2-3League record (W-D-L)4-1-2
10 / 14Goals for / against17 / 13
8 ptsPoints13 pts
#11League position#4
1-2-1 at homeHome / away record2-0-2 away
0 of 5Clean sheets (last 5)1 of 5
Yoane Wissa (2)Top scorerMorgan Rogers (3)
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Newcastle

LLWLD
  • L17 Oct 2026vs Aston Villa0–1
  • L12 Oct 2026at Coventry City1–4
  • W19 Sept 2026vs Hull City2–1
  • L14 Sept 2026at Leeds United1–4
  • D5 Sept 2026vs Bournemouth2–2

1W 1D 3L over 5 matches · 6 scored, 12 conceded · 0 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Chelsea

WWLDL
  • W17 Oct 2026at Everton2–0
  • W10 Oct 2026vs Bournemouth5–1
  • L18 Sept 2026at Brentford0–3
  • D12 Sept 2026vs Hull City2–2
  • L6 Sept 2026at Arsenal1–2

2W 1D 2L over 5 matches · 10 scored, 8 conceded · 1 clean sheet

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 5 v last 5
Scored per match
Newcastle1.20
Chelsea2.00
Conceded per match
Newcastle2.40
Chelsea1.60
Head to head

Last 5 meetings

Newcastle 3 · 1 drawn · Chelsea 1

DateHomeScoreAway
14 Mar 2026Chelsea0–1Newcastle
20 Dec 2025Newcastle2–2Chelsea
11 May 2025Newcastle2–0Chelsea
30 Oct 2024Newcastle2–0Chelsea
27 Oct 2024Chelsea2–1Newcastle
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 40% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Low influenceFavours Chelsea

Newcastle United rating 1.0 vs Chelsea 1.4 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Newcastle United

Newcastle United play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 2-3 implies goals at both ends.

Possession Projection
Chelsea ~54%

Prediction advantage suggests Chelsea dictate the tempo.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Newcastle United vs Chelsea prediction

Chelsea arrive at St.

Who will win Newcastle United vs Chelsea?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Chelsea to win with a 40% probability.

When is Newcastle United vs Chelsea?

Kick-off: Wednesday, 10 February 2027 at 20:00 UTC at St James’ Park.

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Chelsea favoured

Kicks off in 114d 2h

40%