Manchester United vs Leeds United — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Manchester United to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Manchester United's opening-day loss at Hull looks poor on paper, but their 68% home win rate (2.10 goals scored per game at Old Trafford) tells a different story than that single away defeat.
at 90 minutes · Manchester United vs Leeds United
Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Man United v Leeds United by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Man United
- D18 Oct 2026at Leeds United1–1
- D10 Oct 2026vs Spurs1–1
- D20 Sept 2026at Fulham1–1
- L13 Sept 2026vs Man City0–1
- D6 Sept 2026at Everton2–2
0W 4D 1L over 5 matches · 5 scored, 6 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Leeds United
- D18 Oct 2026vs Man United1–1
- L10 Oct 2026at Arsenal1–2
- D20 Sept 2026vs Crystal Palace0–0
- W14 Sept 2026vs Newcastle4–1
- D5 Sept 2026at Brighton1–1
1W 3D 1L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 1 clean sheet
Premier League 2026/27
Last 6 meetings
Man United 2 · 3 drawn · Leeds United 1
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | Man United | 1–1 | Leeds United |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Man United | 1–2 | Leeds United |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Leeds United | 1–1 | Man United |
| 19 Jul 2025 | Man United | 0–0 | Leeds United |
| 12 Jul 2023 | Man United | 2–0 | Leeds United |
| 12 Feb 2023 | Leeds United | 0–2 | Man United |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 58% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Manchester United rating 0.8 vs Leeds United 1.4 across the last 5 matches.
Manchester United play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 2-1 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Manchester United dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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Frequently asked
FAQManchester United vs Leeds United prediction
Manchester United's opening-day loss at Hull looks poor on paper, but their 68% home win rate (2.10 goals scored per game at Old Trafford) tells a different story than that single away defeat.
Who will win Manchester United vs Leeds United?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Manchester United to win with a 58% probability.
When is Manchester United vs Leeds United?
Kick-off: Saturday, 15 May 2027 at 14:00 UTC at Old Trafford.
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Manchester United favoured
Kicks off in 207d 18h