Manchester United vs Chelsea — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 24
6 FebruaryOld TraffordKicks off in 109d 21h 37m
Featured Prediction

Chelsea to win

42%Toss-up
Manchester United win32%
Draw26%
Chelsea win42%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Manchester United's recent form is alarming — a 2-0 defeat away to Hull City signals deeper issues than the overall statistics suggest, particularly given their 2.0 goals conceded per game across all fixtures.
Predicted final score
1 – 2

at 90 minutes · Manchester United vs Chelsea

Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
1 for Manchester United · 2 for Chelsea
Predicted margin
0
1-goal edge to Chelsea
Match tempo
Balanced
Measured, decided by moments
Match closeness
Close
16-point gap between the favourite and the underdog

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Key stats

Man United v Chelsea by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

Man UnitedChelsea
1-4-2League record (W-D-L)4-1-2
10 / 10Goals for / against17 / 13
7 ptsPoints13 pts
#13League position#4
1-1-1 at homeHome / away record2-0-2 away
0 of 5Clean sheets (last 5)1 of 5
B. Fernandes (3)Top scorerMorgan Rogers (3)
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Man United

DDDLD
  • D18 Oct 2026at Leeds United1–1
  • D10 Oct 2026vs Spurs1–1
  • D20 Sept 2026at Fulham1–1
  • L13 Sept 2026vs Man City0–1
  • D6 Sept 2026at Everton2–2

0W 4D 1L over 5 matches · 5 scored, 6 conceded · 0 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Chelsea

WWLDL
  • W17 Oct 2026at Everton2–0
  • W10 Oct 2026vs Bournemouth5–1
  • L18 Sept 2026at Brentford0–3
  • D12 Sept 2026vs Hull City2–2
  • L6 Sept 2026at Arsenal1–2

2W 1D 2L over 5 matches · 10 scored, 8 conceded · 1 clean sheet

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 5 v last 5
Scored per match
Man United1.00
Chelsea2.00
Conceded per match
Man United1.20
Chelsea1.60
Head to head

Last 5 meetings

Man United 2 · 1 drawn · Chelsea 2

DateHomeScoreAway
18 Apr 2026Chelsea0–1Man United
20 Sept 2025Man United2–1Chelsea
16 May 2025Chelsea1–0Man United
3 Nov 2024Man United1–1Chelsea
4 Apr 2024Chelsea4–3Man United
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 42% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Medium influenceFavours Chelsea

Manchester United rating 0.8 vs Chelsea 1.4 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Manchester United

Manchester United play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 1-2 implies goals at both ends.

Possession Projection
Chelsea ~55%

Prediction advantage suggests Chelsea dictate the tempo.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Manchester United vs Chelsea prediction

Manchester United's recent form is alarming — a 2-0 defeat away to Hull City signals deeper issues than the overall statistics suggest, particularly given their 2.0 goals conceded per game across all fixtures.

Who will win Manchester United vs Chelsea?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Chelsea to win with a 42% probability.

When is Manchester United vs Chelsea?

Kick-off: Saturday, 6 February 2027 at 15:00 UTC at Old Trafford.

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Chelsea favoured

Kicks off in 109d 21h

42%