Manchester City vs Newcastle United — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Manchester City to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Manchester City arrive with a perfect Etihad record this season — 100% win rate, averaging 2 goals scored and just 1 conceded per game at home — and that fortress mentality looms large against a Newcastle side that drew 2-2 with Liverpool but has conceded 2 per game overall.
at 90 minutes · Manchester City vs Newcastle United
Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Man City v Newcastle by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Man City
- W17 Oct 2026vs Ipswich Town3–2
- W11 Oct 2026at Liverpool3–0
- W20 Sept 2026vs Sunderland5–3
- W13 Sept 2026at Man United1–0
- W5 Sept 2026vs Coventry City1–0
5W 0D 0L over 5 matches · 13 scored, 5 conceded · 3 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Newcastle
- L17 Oct 2026vs Aston Villa0–1
- L12 Oct 2026at Coventry City1–4
- W19 Sept 2026vs Hull City2–1
- L14 Sept 2026at Leeds United1–4
- D5 Sept 2026vs Bournemouth2–2
1W 1D 3L over 5 matches · 6 scored, 12 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Man City 4 · 0 drawn · Newcastle 1
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | Newcastle | 1–3 | Man City |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Man City | 2–1 | Newcastle |
| 4 Feb 2026 | Man City | 3–1 | Newcastle |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Newcastle | 0–2 | Man City |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Newcastle | 2–1 | Man City |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 68% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Manchester City rating 1.4 vs Newcastle United 1.0 across the last 5 matches.
Manchester City play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 3-1 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Manchester City dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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FAQManchester City vs Newcastle United prediction
Manchester City arrive with a perfect Etihad record this season — 100% win rate, averaging 2 goals scored and just 1 conceded per game at home — and that fortress mentality looms large against a Newcastle side that drew 2-2 with Liverpool but has conceded 2 per game overall.
Who will win Manchester City vs Newcastle United?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Manchester City to win with a 68% probability.
When is Manchester City vs Newcastle United?
Kick-off: Saturday, 20 February 2027 at 15:00 UTC at Etihad Stadium.
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Manchester City favoured
Kicks off in 123d 19h