Manchester City vs Manchester United — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Manchester City to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Manchester City's perfect home record this season (100% win rate, 2.00 scored/game) and recent 2-1 victory over Bournemouth contrasts sharply with Manchester United's winless away form (0% win rate, 2.00 conceded/game) and 2-0 defeat at Hull City.
at 90 minutes · Manchester City vs Manchester United
Updated 8 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Man City v Man United by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Man City
- W28 Aug 2026at Crystal Palace4–1
- W23 Aug 2026vs Bournemouth2–1
2W 0D 0L over 2 matches · 6 scored, 2 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Man United
- W30 Aug 2026vs Ipswich Town5–2
- L22 Aug 2026at Hull City0–2
1W 0D 1L over 2 matches · 5 scored, 4 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Man City 1 · 2 drawn · Man United 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Man United | 2–0 | Man City |
| 14 Sept 2025 | Man City | 3–0 | Man United |
| 6 Apr 2025 | Man United | 0–0 | Man City |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Man City | 1–2 | Man United |
| 10 Aug 2024 | Man City | 1–1 | Man United |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 68% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Manchester City rating 1.4 vs Manchester United 0.8 across the last 5 matches.
Manchester City play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 3-1 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Manchester City dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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FAQManchester City vs Manchester United prediction
Manchester City's perfect home record this season (100% win rate, 2.00 scored/game) and recent 2-1 victory over Bournemouth contrasts sharply with Manchester United's winless away form (0% win rate, 2.00 conceded/game) and 2-0 defeat at Hull City.
Who will win Manchester City vs Manchester United?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Manchester City to win with a 68% probability.
When is Manchester City vs Manchester United?
Kick-off: Saturday, 20 March 2027 at 15:00 UTC at Etihad Stadium.
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Manchester City favoured
Kicks off in 196d 22h