Manchester City vs Liverpool — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Manchester City to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Manchester City carry perfect home form into this fixture having opened with a narrow 2-1 win over Bournemouth, while Liverpool's 0% away win rate and conceding average of 2.00 goals per game on the road signals serious vulnerability at the Etihad.
at 90 minutes · Manchester City vs Liverpool
Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Man City v Liverpool by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Man City
- W17 Oct 2026vs Ipswich Town3–2
- W11 Oct 2026at Liverpool3–0
- W20 Sept 2026vs Sunderland5–3
- W13 Sept 2026at Man United1–0
- W5 Sept 2026vs Coventry City1–0
5W 0D 0L over 5 matches · 13 scored, 5 conceded · 3 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Liverpool
- W17 Oct 2026at Brentford2–1
- L11 Oct 2026vs Man City0–3
- W20 Sept 2026at Bournemouth1–0
- D12 Sept 2026vs Fulham0–0
- W4 Sept 2026at Ipswich Town2–0
3W 1D 1L over 5 matches · 5 scored, 4 conceded · 3 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Man City 3 · 0 drawn · Liverpool 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2026 | Man City | 4–0 | Liverpool |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Liverpool | 1–2 | Man City |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Man City | 3–0 | Liverpool |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Man City | 0–2 | Liverpool |
| 1 Dec 2024 | Liverpool | 2–0 | Man City |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 68% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Manchester City rating 1.4 vs Liverpool 1.0 across the last 5 matches.
Manchester City play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 3-1 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Manchester City dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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Frequently asked
FAQManchester City vs Liverpool prediction
Manchester City carry perfect home form into this fixture having opened with a narrow 2-1 win over Bournemouth, while Liverpool's 0% away win rate and conceding average of 2.00 goals per game on the road signals serious vulnerability at the Etihad.
Who will win Manchester City vs Liverpool?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Manchester City to win with a 68% probability.
When is Manchester City vs Liverpool?
Kick-off: Saturday, 8 May 2027 at 14:00 UTC at Etihad Stadium.
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Manchester City favoured
Kicks off in 200d 20h