Manchester City vs Leeds United — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Manchester City to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Manchester City enter this fixture with a perfect home record (100% win rate, 2.00 scored per game) and face a Leeds United side whose away form, while showing a win, betrays defensive fragility at 1.80 conceded per game.
at 90 minutes · Manchester City vs Leeds United
Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Man City v Leeds United by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Man City
- W17 Oct 2026vs Ipswich Town3–2
- W11 Oct 2026at Liverpool3–0
- W20 Sept 2026vs Sunderland5–3
- W13 Sept 2026at Man United1–0
- W5 Sept 2026vs Coventry City1–0
5W 0D 0L over 5 matches · 13 scored, 5 conceded · 3 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Leeds United
- D18 Oct 2026vs Man United1–1
- L10 Oct 2026at Arsenal1–2
- D20 Sept 2026vs Crystal Palace0–0
- W14 Sept 2026vs Newcastle4–1
- D5 Sept 2026at Brighton1–1
1W 3D 1L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 1 clean sheet
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Man City 5 · 0 drawn · Leeds United 0
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Leeds United | 0–1 | Man City |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Man City | 3–2 | Leeds United |
| 6 May 2023 | Man City | 2–1 | Leeds United |
| 28 Dec 2022 | Leeds United | 1–3 | Man City |
| 30 Apr 2022 | Leeds United | 0–4 | Man City |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 68% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Manchester City rating 1.4 vs Leeds United 1.4 across the last 5 matches.
Manchester City play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 3-1 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Manchester City dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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Frequently asked
FAQManchester City vs Leeds United prediction
Manchester City enter this fixture with a perfect home record (100% win rate, 2.00 scored per game) and face a Leeds United side whose away form, while showing a win, betrays defensive fragility at 1.80 conceded per game.
Who will win Manchester City vs Leeds United?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Manchester City to win with a 68% probability.
When is Manchester City vs Leeds United?
Kick-off: Wednesday, 2 December 2026 at 20:00 UTC at Etihad Stadium.
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Manchester City favoured
Kicks off in 44d 0h