Manchester City vs Arsenal — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Manchester City to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Arsenal arrive at the Etihad having dominated this fixture recently, winning three of the last five meetings including a stunning 5-1 victory in February 2025 and a 3-0 triumph in August 2026.
at 90 minutes · Manchester City vs Arsenal
Updated 8 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Man City v Arsenal by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Man City
- W28 Aug 2026at Crystal Palace4–1
- W23 Aug 2026vs Bournemouth2–1
2W 0D 0L over 2 matches · 6 scored, 2 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Arsenal
- W31 Aug 2026at Aston Villa1–0
- W21 Aug 2026vs Coventry City3–0
2W 0D 0L over 2 matches · 4 scored, 0 conceded · 2 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Man City 2 · 1 drawn · Arsenal 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | Arsenal | 3–0 | Man City |
| 19 Apr 2026 | Man City | 2–1 | Arsenal |
| 22 Mar 2026 | Arsenal | 0–2 | Man City |
| 21 Sept 2025 | Arsenal | 1–1 | Man City |
| 2 Feb 2025 | Arsenal | 5–1 | Man City |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 36% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Manchester City rating 1.4 vs Arsenal 1.4 across the last 5 matches.
Manchester City play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 2-1 implies goals at both ends.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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Frequently asked
FAQManchester City vs Arsenal prediction
Arsenal arrive at the Etihad having dominated this fixture recently, winning three of the last five meetings including a stunning 5-1 victory in February 2025 and a 3-0 triumph in August 2026.
Who will win Manchester City vs Arsenal?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Manchester City to win with a 36% probability.
When is Manchester City vs Arsenal?
Kick-off: Saturday, 30 January 2027 at 15:00 UTC at Etihad Stadium.
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Manchester City favoured
Kicks off in 147d 22h