Leeds United vs Manchester City — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Manchester City to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Leeds United's 1-0 win at Nottingham Forest represents solid organisation but reveals a limited attacking ceiling — 1.0 goals per game overall and 1.50 at Elland Road won't trouble a Manchester City side that has won four of the last five H2H meetings and concedes just one goal per game.
at 90 minutes · Leeds United vs Manchester City
Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Leeds United v Man City by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Leeds United
- D18 Oct 2026vs Man United1–1
- L10 Oct 2026at Arsenal1–2
- D20 Sept 2026vs Crystal Palace0–0
- W14 Sept 2026vs Newcastle4–1
- D5 Sept 2026at Brighton1–1
1W 3D 1L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 1 clean sheet
Premier League 2026/27
Man City
- W17 Oct 2026vs Ipswich Town3–2
- W11 Oct 2026at Liverpool3–0
- W20 Sept 2026vs Sunderland5–3
- W13 Sept 2026at Man United1–0
- W5 Sept 2026vs Coventry City1–0
5W 0D 0L over 5 matches · 13 scored, 5 conceded · 3 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Leeds United 0 · 0 drawn · Man City 5
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Leeds United | 0–1 | Man City |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Man City | 3–2 | Leeds United |
| 6 May 2023 | Man City | 2–1 | Leeds United |
| 28 Dec 2022 | Leeds United | 1–3 | Man City |
| 30 Apr 2022 | Leeds United | 0–4 | Man City |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 58% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Leeds United rating 1.4 vs Manchester City 1.4 across the last 5 matches.
Leeds United play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 1-2 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Manchester City dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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FAQLeeds United vs Manchester City prediction
Leeds United's 1-0 win at Nottingham Forest represents solid organisation but reveals a limited attacking ceiling — 1.0 goals per game overall and 1.50 at Elland Road won't trouble a Manchester City side that has won four of the last five H2H meetings and concedes just one goal per game.
Who will win Leeds United vs Manchester City?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Manchester City to win with a 58% probability.
When is Leeds United vs Manchester City?
Kick-off: Wednesday, 6 January 2027 at 20:15 UTC at Elland Road.
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Manchester City favoured
Kicks off in 78d 23h