Leeds United vs Liverpool — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 33
24 AprilElland RoadKicks off in 186d 20h 38m
Featured Prediction

Leeds United to win

48%Toss-up
Leeds United win48%
Draw28%
Liverpool win24%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Leeds arrive with momentum from a tight 1-0 away win at Nottingham Forest, while Liverpool's 2-2 draw at Newcastle exposed defensive fragility that has seen them concede two goals per game this season.
Predicted final score
2 – 1

at 90 minutes · Leeds United vs Liverpool

Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
2 for Leeds United · 1 for Liverpool
Predicted margin
0
1-goal edge to Leeds United
Match tempo
Balanced
Measured, decided by moments
Match closeness
Close
24-point gap between the favourite and the underdog

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Key stats

Leeds United v Liverpool by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

Leeds UnitedLiverpool
2-4-1League record (W-D-L)3-3-1
9 / 6Goals for / against9 / 8
10 ptsPoints12 pts
#7League position#5
1-3-0 at homeHome / away record3-1-0 away
1 of 5Clean sheets (last 5)3 of 5
Jayden Bogle (2)Top scorerAlexander Isak (5)
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Leeds United

DLDWD
  • D18 Oct 2026vs Man United1–1
  • L10 Oct 2026at Arsenal1–2
  • D20 Sept 2026vs Crystal Palace0–0
  • W14 Sept 2026vs Newcastle4–1
  • D5 Sept 2026at Brighton1–1

1W 3D 1L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 1 clean sheet

Premier League 2026/27

Liverpool

WLWDW
  • W17 Oct 2026at Brentford2–1
  • L11 Oct 2026vs Man City0–3
  • W20 Sept 2026at Bournemouth1–0
  • D12 Sept 2026vs Fulham0–0
  • W4 Sept 2026at Ipswich Town2–0

3W 1D 1L over 5 matches · 5 scored, 4 conceded · 3 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 5 v last 5
Scored per match
Leeds United1.40
Liverpool1.00
Conceded per match
Leeds United1.00
Liverpool0.80
Head to head

Last 6 meetings

Leeds United 2 · 2 drawn · Liverpool 2

DateHomeScoreAway
2 Aug 2026Liverpool2–4Leeds United
1 Jan 2026Liverpool0–0Leeds United
6 Dec 2025Leeds United3–3Liverpool
17 Apr 2023Leeds United1–6Liverpool
29 Oct 2022Liverpool1–2Leeds United
23 Feb 2022Liverpool6–0Leeds United
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 48% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Low influenceFavours Leeds United

Leeds United rating 1.4 vs Liverpool 1.0 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Leeds United

Leeds United play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 2-1 implies goals at both ends.

Possession Projection
Leeds United ~62%

Prediction advantage suggests Leeds United dictate the tempo.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Leeds United vs Liverpool prediction

Leeds arrive with momentum from a tight 1-0 away win at Nottingham Forest, while Liverpool's 2-2 draw at Newcastle exposed defensive fragility that has seen them concede two goals per game this season.

Who will win Leeds United vs Liverpool?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Leeds United to win with a 48% probability.

When is Leeds United vs Liverpool?

Kick-off: Saturday, 24 April 2027 at 14:00 UTC at Elland Road.

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Leeds United favoured

Kicks off in 186d 20h

48%