Leeds United vs ChelseaPremier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 22
23 JanuaryElland RoadKicks off in 140d 22h 22m
Featured Prediction

Chelsea to win

48%Toss-up
Leeds United win28%
Draw24%
Chelsea win48%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Chelsea arrive at Elland Road with a perfect away record this season and averaging three goals per game on their travels, though defensive frailties conceding two per match create opportunity for Leeds.
Predicted final score
1 2

at 90 minutes · Leeds United vs Chelsea

Updated 8 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
1 for Leeds United · 2 for Chelsea
Predicted margin
0
1-goal edge to Chelsea
Match tempo
Balanced
Measured, decided by moments
Match closeness
Close
24-point gap between the favourite and the underdog

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Key stats

Leeds United v Chelsea by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

Leeds UnitedChelsea
1-1-0League record (W-D-L)2-0-0
2 / 1Goals for / against7 / 5
4 ptsPoints6 pts
#8League position#4
1 of 2Clean sheets (last 5)0 of 2
A. Stach (1)Top scorerC. Palmer (2)
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Leeds United

DW
  • D30 Aug 2026vs Brentford11
  • W22 Aug 2026at Forest10

1W 1D 0L over 2 matches · 2 scored, 1 conceded · 1 clean sheet

Premier League 2026/27

Chelsea

WW
  • W30 Aug 2026vs Brighton43
  • W24 Aug 2026at Fulham32

2W 0D 0L over 2 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 0 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 2 v last 2
Scored per match
Leeds United1.00
Chelsea3.50
Conceded per match
Leeds United0.50
Chelsea2.50
Head to head

Last 5 meetings

Leeds United 1 · 1 drawn · Chelsea 3

DateHomeScoreAway
26 Apr 2026Chelsea1–0Leeds United
10 Feb 2026Chelsea2–2Leeds United
3 Dec 2025Leeds United3–1Chelsea
28 Feb 2024Chelsea3–2Leeds United
4 Mar 2023Chelsea1–0Leeds United
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 48% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Low influenceBalanced

Leeds United rating 1.4 vs Chelsea 1.4 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Leeds United

Leeds United play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 1-2 implies goals at both ends.

Possession Projection
Chelsea ~60%

Prediction advantage suggests Chelsea dictate the tempo.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Leeds United vs Chelsea prediction

Chelsea arrive at Elland Road with a perfect away record this season and averaging three goals per game on their travels, though defensive frailties conceding two per match create opportunity for Leeds.

Who will win Leeds United vs Chelsea?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Chelsea to win with a 48% probability.

When is Leeds United vs Chelsea?

Kick-off: Saturday, 23 January 2027 at 15:00 UTC at Elland Road.

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Chelsea favoured

Kicks off in 140d 22h

48%