Leeds United vs Chelsea — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 22
Leeds United

Leeds United

vs
15:00 GMT+0
Chelsea

Chelsea

23 JanuaryElland RoadKicks off in 95d 21h 37m
Featured Prediction

Chelsea to win

48%Toss-up
Leeds United win28%
Draw24%
Chelsea win48%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Chelsea arrive at Elland Road with a perfect away record this season and averaging three goals per game on their travels, though defensive frailties conceding two per match create opportunity for Leeds.
Predicted final score
1 – 2

at 90 minutes · Leeds United vs Chelsea

Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
1 for Leeds United · 2 for Chelsea
Predicted margin
0
1-goal edge to Chelsea
Match tempo
Balanced
Measured, decided by moments
Match closeness
Close
24-point gap between the favourite and the underdog

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Key stats

Leeds United v Chelsea by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

Leeds UnitedChelsea
2-4-1League record (W-D-L)4-1-2
9 / 6Goals for / against17 / 13
10 ptsPoints13 pts
#7League position#4
1-3-0 at homeHome / away record2-0-2 away
1 of 5Clean sheets (last 5)1 of 5
Jayden Bogle (2)Top scorerMorgan Rogers (3)
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Leeds United

DLDWD
  • D18 Oct 2026vs Man United1–1
  • L10 Oct 2026at Arsenal1–2
  • D20 Sept 2026vs Crystal Palace0–0
  • W14 Sept 2026vs Newcastle4–1
  • D5 Sept 2026at Brighton1–1

1W 3D 1L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 1 clean sheet

Premier League 2026/27

Chelsea

WWLDL
  • W17 Oct 2026at Everton2–0
  • W10 Oct 2026vs Bournemouth5–1
  • L18 Sept 2026at Brentford0–3
  • D12 Sept 2026vs Hull City2–2
  • L6 Sept 2026at Arsenal1–2

2W 1D 2L over 5 matches · 10 scored, 8 conceded · 1 clean sheet

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 5 v last 5
Scored per match
Leeds United1.40
Chelsea2.00
Conceded per match
Leeds United1.00
Chelsea1.60
Head to head

Last 5 meetings

Leeds United 1 · 1 drawn · Chelsea 3

DateHomeScoreAway
26 Apr 2026Chelsea1–0Leeds United
10 Feb 2026Chelsea2–2Leeds United
3 Dec 2025Leeds United3–1Chelsea
28 Feb 2024Chelsea3–2Leeds United
4 Mar 2023Chelsea1–0Leeds United
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 48% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Low influenceBalanced

Leeds United rating 1.4 vs Chelsea 1.4 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Leeds United

Leeds United play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 1-2 implies goals at both ends.

Possession Projection
Chelsea ~60%

Prediction advantage suggests Chelsea dictate the tempo.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Leeds United vs Chelsea prediction

Chelsea arrive at Elland Road with a perfect away record this season and averaging three goals per game on their travels, though defensive frailties conceding two per match create opportunity for Leeds.

Who will win Leeds United vs Chelsea?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Chelsea to win with a 48% probability.

When is Leeds United vs Chelsea?

Kick-off: Saturday, 23 January 2027 at 15:00 UTC at Elland Road.

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Chelsea favoured

Kicks off in 95d 21h

48%