Leeds United vs Arsenal — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 35
8 MayElland RoadKicks off in 200d 20h 37m
Featured Prediction

Arsenal to win

60%High confidence
Leeds United win18%
Draw22%
Arsenal win60%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Arsenal's dominance in this fixture is absolute — five straight wins including three by 4+ goals, and Leeds have failed to score in four of those meetings.
Predicted final score
1 – 3

at 90 minutes · Leeds United vs Arsenal

Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
1 for Leeds United · 3 for Arsenal
Predicted margin
0
2-goal edge to Arsenal
Match tempo
High-scoring
Open, chances at both ends

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Key stats

Leeds United v Arsenal by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

Leeds UnitedArsenal
2-4-1League record (W-D-L)6-0-1
9 / 6Goals for / against11 / 5
10 ptsPoints18 pts
#7League position#2
1-3-0 at homeHome / away record3-0-1 away
1 of 5Clean sheets (last 5)2 of 5
Jayden Bogle (2)Top scorerB. Saka (2)
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Leeds United

DLDWD
  • D18 Oct 2026vs Man United1–1
  • L10 Oct 2026at Arsenal1–2
  • D20 Sept 2026vs Crystal Palace0–0
  • W14 Sept 2026vs Newcastle4–1
  • D5 Sept 2026at Brighton1–1

1W 3D 1L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 1 clean sheet

Premier League 2026/27

Arsenal

WWLWW
  • W18 Oct 2026at Forest1–0
  • W10 Oct 2026vs Leeds United2–1
  • L19 Sept 2026at Brighton0–3
  • W12 Sept 2026at Sunderland2–0
  • W6 Sept 2026vs Chelsea2–1

4W 0D 1L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 2 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 5 v last 5
Scored per match
Leeds United1.40
Arsenal1.40
Conceded per match
Leeds United1.00
Arsenal1.00
Head to head

Last 5 meetings

Leeds United 0 · 0 drawn · Arsenal 5

DateHomeScoreAway
31 Jan 2026Leeds United0–4Arsenal
23 Aug 2025Arsenal5–0Leeds United
1 Apr 2023Arsenal4–1Leeds United
16 Oct 2022Leeds United0–1Arsenal
8 May 2022Arsenal2–1Leeds United
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 60% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Low influenceBalanced

Leeds United rating 1.4 vs Arsenal 1.4 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Leeds United

Leeds United play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 1-3 implies goals at both ends.

Possession Projection
Arsenal ~65%

Prediction advantage suggests Arsenal dictate the tempo.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Leeds United vs Arsenal prediction

Arsenal's dominance in this fixture is absolute — five straight wins including three by 4+ goals, and Leeds have failed to score in four of those meetings.

Who will win Leeds United vs Arsenal?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Arsenal to win with a 60% probability.

When is Leeds United vs Arsenal?

Kick-off: Saturday, 8 May 2027 at 14:00 UTC at Elland Road.

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Arsenal favoured

Kicks off in 200d 20h

60%