Everton vs Arsenal — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Arsenal to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Arsenal arrive at Hill Dickinson Stadium having scored three goals per game and with a comfortable 3-0 win over Coventry City, while Everton's 2-0 home victory over Crystal Palace—though perfect in their home record (100% win rate)—represents a significantly lower quality benchmark.
at 90 minutes · Everton vs Arsenal
Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Everton v Arsenal by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Everton
- L17 Oct 2026vs Chelsea0–2
- D11 Oct 2026at Hull City2–2
- W19 Sept 2026vs Ipswich Town1–0
- D12 Sept 2026at Spurs0–0
- D6 Sept 2026vs Man United2–2
1W 3D 1L over 5 matches · 5 scored, 6 conceded · 2 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Arsenal
- W18 Oct 2026at Forest1–0
- W10 Oct 2026vs Leeds United2–1
- L19 Sept 2026at Brighton0–3
- W12 Sept 2026at Sunderland2–0
- W6 Sept 2026vs Chelsea2–1
4W 0D 1L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 2 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Everton 0 · 2 drawn · Arsenal 3
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Arsenal | 2–0 | Everton |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Everton | 0–1 | Arsenal |
| 5 Apr 2025 | Everton | 1–1 | Arsenal |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Arsenal | 0–0 | Everton |
| 19 May 2024 | Arsenal | 2–1 | Everton |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 58% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Everton rating 1.4 vs Arsenal 1.4 across the last 5 matches.
Everton play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 1-2 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Arsenal dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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FAQEverton vs Arsenal prediction
Arsenal arrive at Hill Dickinson Stadium having scored three goals per game and with a comfortable 3-0 win over Coventry City, while Everton's 2-0 home victory over Crystal Palace—though perfect in their home record (100% win rate)—represents a significantly lower quality benchmark.
Who will win Everton vs Arsenal?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Arsenal to win with a 58% probability.
When is Everton vs Arsenal?
Kick-off: Sunday, 23 May 2027 at 14:00 UTC at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
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Arsenal favoured
Kicks off in 215d 6h