Chelsea vs Newcastle United — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Chelsea to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Chelsea arrive with momentum from a 3-2 away win at Fulham, scoring three goals despite conceding two, but face Newcastle holding a psychological edge with four wins and a draw in the last five H2H meetings.
at 90 minutes · Chelsea vs Newcastle United
Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Chelsea v Newcastle by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Chelsea
- W17 Oct 2026at Everton2–0
- W10 Oct 2026vs Bournemouth5–1
- L18 Sept 2026at Brentford0–3
- D12 Sept 2026vs Hull City2–2
- L6 Sept 2026at Arsenal1–2
2W 1D 2L over 5 matches · 10 scored, 8 conceded · 1 clean sheet
Premier League 2026/27
Newcastle
- L17 Oct 2026vs Aston Villa0–1
- L12 Oct 2026at Coventry City1–4
- W19 Sept 2026vs Hull City2–1
- L14 Sept 2026at Leeds United1–4
- D5 Sept 2026vs Bournemouth2–2
1W 1D 3L over 5 matches · 6 scored, 12 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Chelsea 1 · 1 drawn · Newcastle 3
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Chelsea | 0–1 | Newcastle |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Newcastle | 2–2 | Chelsea |
| 11 May 2025 | Newcastle | 2–0 | Chelsea |
| 30 Oct 2024 | Newcastle | 2–0 | Chelsea |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Chelsea | 2–1 | Newcastle |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 58% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Chelsea rating 1.4 vs Newcastle United 1.0 across the last 5 matches.
Chelsea play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 2-1 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Chelsea dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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Frequently asked
FAQChelsea vs Newcastle United prediction
Chelsea arrive with momentum from a 3-2 away win at Fulham, scoring three goals despite conceding two, but face Newcastle holding a psychological edge with four wins and a draw in the last five H2H meetings.
Who will win Chelsea vs Newcastle United?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Chelsea to win with a 58% probability.
When is Chelsea vs Newcastle United?
Kick-off: Sunday, 3 January 2027 at 14:00 UTC at Stamford Bridge.
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Chelsea favoured
Kicks off in 75d 20h