Chelsea vs Manchester City — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Manchester City to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Manchester City arrive at Stamford Bridge having won four of the last five head-to-head meetings, including a 3-0 thrashing at this venue in April 2026, and their recent 2-1 home victory over Bournemouth suggests they've rediscovered winning rhythm after a mid-August wobble.
at 90 minutes · Chelsea vs Manchester City
Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Chelsea v Man City by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Chelsea
- W17 Oct 2026at Everton2–0
- W10 Oct 2026vs Bournemouth5–1
- L18 Sept 2026at Brentford0–3
- D12 Sept 2026vs Hull City2–2
- L6 Sept 2026at Arsenal1–2
2W 1D 2L over 5 matches · 10 scored, 8 conceded · 1 clean sheet
Premier League 2026/27
Man City
- W17 Oct 2026vs Ipswich Town3–2
- W11 Oct 2026at Liverpool3–0
- W20 Sept 2026vs Sunderland5–3
- W13 Sept 2026at Man United1–0
- W5 Sept 2026vs Coventry City1–0
5W 0D 0L over 5 matches · 13 scored, 5 conceded · 3 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Chelsea 0 · 1 drawn · Man City 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Chelsea | 0–1 | Man City |
| 12 Apr 2026 | Chelsea | 0–3 | Man City |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Man City | 1–1 | Chelsea |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Man City | 3–1 | Chelsea |
| 18 Aug 2024 | Chelsea | 0–2 | Man City |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 48% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Chelsea rating 1.4 vs Manchester City 2.0 across the last 5 matches.
Chelsea play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 1-2 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Manchester City dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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FAQChelsea vs Manchester City prediction
Manchester City arrive at Stamford Bridge having won four of the last five head-to-head meetings, including a 3-0 thrashing at this venue in April 2026, and their recent 2-1 home victory over Bournemouth suggests they've rediscovered winning rhythm after a mid-August wobble.
Who will win Chelsea vs Manchester City?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Manchester City to win with a 48% probability.
When is Chelsea vs Manchester City?
Kick-off: Saturday, 24 April 2027 at 14:00 UTC at Stamford Bridge.
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Manchester City favoured
Kicks off in 186d 20h