Chelsea vs Liverpool — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 14
Chelsea

Chelsea

vs
15:00 GMT+0
Liverpool

Liverpool

5 DecemberStamford BridgeKicks off in 46d 21h 38m
Featured Prediction

Chelsea to win

58%Moderate confidence
Chelsea win58%
Draw24%
Liverpool win18%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Chelsea arrive in confident form after beating Fulham 3-2 away, showcasing their attacking firepower that's averaging three goals per game this season.
Predicted final score
2 – 1

at 90 minutes · Chelsea vs Liverpool

Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
2 for Chelsea · 1 for Liverpool
Predicted margin
0
1-goal edge to Chelsea
Match tempo
Balanced
Measured, decided by moments
Match closeness
Clear favourite
40-point gap — the favourite is strongly expected

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Key stats

Chelsea v Liverpool by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

ChelseaLiverpool
4-1-2League record (W-D-L)3-3-1
17 / 13Goals for / against9 / 8
13 ptsPoints12 pts
#4League position#5
2-1-0 at homeHome / away record3-1-0 away
1 of 5Clean sheets (last 5)3 of 5
Morgan Rogers (3)Top scorerAlexander Isak (5)
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Chelsea

WWLDL
  • W17 Oct 2026at Everton2–0
  • W10 Oct 2026vs Bournemouth5–1
  • L18 Sept 2026at Brentford0–3
  • D12 Sept 2026vs Hull City2–2
  • L6 Sept 2026at Arsenal1–2

2W 1D 2L over 5 matches · 10 scored, 8 conceded · 1 clean sheet

Premier League 2026/27

Liverpool

WLWDW
  • W17 Oct 2026at Brentford2–1
  • L11 Oct 2026vs Man City0–3
  • W20 Sept 2026at Bournemouth1–0
  • D12 Sept 2026vs Fulham0–0
  • W4 Sept 2026at Ipswich Town2–0

3W 1D 1L over 5 matches · 5 scored, 4 conceded · 3 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 5 v last 5
Scored per match
Chelsea2.00
Liverpool1.00
Conceded per match
Chelsea1.60
Liverpool0.80
Head to head

Last 5 meetings

Chelsea 2 · 1 drawn · Liverpool 2

DateHomeScoreAway
9 May 2026Liverpool1–1Chelsea
4 Oct 2025Chelsea2–1Liverpool
4 May 2025Chelsea3–1Liverpool
20 Oct 2024Liverpool2–1Chelsea
25 Feb 2024Chelsea0–1Liverpool
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 58% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Low influenceFavours Chelsea

Chelsea rating 1.4 vs Liverpool 1.0 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Chelsea

Chelsea play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 2-1 implies goals at both ends.

Possession Projection
Chelsea ~65%

Prediction advantage suggests Chelsea dictate the tempo.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction

Chelsea arrive in confident form after beating Fulham 3-2 away, showcasing their attacking firepower that's averaging three goals per game this season.

Who will win Chelsea vs Liverpool?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Chelsea to win with a 58% probability.

When is Chelsea vs Liverpool?

Kick-off: Saturday, 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC at Stamford Bridge.

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Chelsea favoured

Kicks off in 46d 21h

58%