Chelsea vs Aston Villa — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Chelsea to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Chelsea opened with a convincing 3-2 away win at Fulham, while Villa were dismantled 4-0 at Brighton — that gulf in opponent-adjusted form is stark.
at 90 minutes · Chelsea vs Aston Villa
Updated 8 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Chelsea v Aston Villa by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Chelsea
- W30 Aug 2026vs Brighton4–3
- W24 Aug 2026at Fulham3–2
2W 0D 0L over 2 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Aston Villa
- L31 Aug 2026vs Arsenal0–1
- L23 Aug 2026at Brighton0–4
0W 0D 2L over 2 matches · 0 scored, 5 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Chelsea 2 · 1 drawn · Aston Villa 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | Aston Villa | 1–4 | Chelsea |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Chelsea | 1–2 | Aston Villa |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Aston Villa | 2–1 | Chelsea |
| 1 Dec 2024 | Chelsea | 3–0 | Aston Villa |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Aston Villa | 2–2 | Chelsea |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 68% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Chelsea rating 1.4 vs Aston Villa 0.8 across the last 5 matches.
Chelsea play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 3-1 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Chelsea dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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FAQChelsea vs Aston Villa prediction
Chelsea opened with a convincing 3-2 away win at Fulham, while Villa were dismantled 4-0 at Brighton — that gulf in opponent-adjusted form is stark.
Who will win Chelsea vs Aston Villa?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Chelsea to win with a 68% probability.
When is Chelsea vs Aston Villa?
Kick-off: Saturday, 19 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC at Stamford Bridge.
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Chelsea favoured
Kicks off in 105d 22h