Chelsea vs Arsenal — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Chelsea to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Arsenal arrive at Stamford Bridge having dominated this fixture recently, winning four of the last five meetings including three consecutive victories.
at 90 minutes · Chelsea vs Arsenal
Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Chelsea v Arsenal by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Chelsea
- W17 Oct 2026at Everton2–0
- W10 Oct 2026vs Bournemouth5–1
- L18 Sept 2026at Brentford0–3
- D12 Sept 2026vs Hull City2–2
- L6 Sept 2026at Arsenal1–2
2W 1D 2L over 5 matches · 10 scored, 8 conceded · 1 clean sheet
Premier League 2026/27
Arsenal
- W18 Oct 2026at Forest1–0
- W10 Oct 2026vs Leeds United2–1
- L19 Sept 2026at Brighton0–3
- W12 Sept 2026at Sunderland2–0
- W6 Sept 2026vs Chelsea2–1
4W 0D 1L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 2 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Chelsea 0 · 1 drawn · Arsenal 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | Arsenal | 2–1 | Chelsea |
| 3 Feb 2026 | Arsenal | 1–0 | Chelsea |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Chelsea | 2–3 | Arsenal |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Chelsea | 1–1 | Arsenal |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Arsenal | 1–0 | Chelsea |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 38% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Chelsea rating 1.4 vs Arsenal 1.4 across the last 5 matches.
Chelsea play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 3-2 implies goals at both ends.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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Frequently asked
FAQChelsea vs Arsenal prediction
Arsenal arrive at Stamford Bridge having dominated this fixture recently, winning four of the last five meetings including three consecutive victories.
Who will win Chelsea vs Arsenal?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Chelsea to win with a 38% probability.
When is Chelsea vs Arsenal?
Kick-off: Saturday, 13 March 2027 at 15:00 UTC at Stamford Bridge.
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Chelsea favoured
Kicks off in 144d 21h