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Chelsea vs Arsenal — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 29
Chelsea

Chelsea

vs
15:00 GMT
Arsenal

Arsenal

13 MarchStamford BridgeKicks off in 189d 22h 23m
Featured Prediction

Chelsea to win

38%Low confidence
Chelsea win38%
Draw26%
Arsenal win36%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Arsenal arrive at Stamford Bridge having dominated this fixture recently, winning four of the last five meetings including three consecutive victories.
Predicted final score
3 – 2

at 90 minutes · Chelsea vs Arsenal

Updated 8 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
3 for Chelsea · 2 for Arsenal
Predicted margin
0
1-goal edge to Chelsea
Match tempo
High-scoring
Open, chances at both ends
Match closeness
Tight
Only 12 points separate the outcomes — this one could go either way

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Key stats

Chelsea v Arsenal by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

ChelseaArsenal
2-0-0League record (W-D-L)2-0-0
7 / 5Goals for / against4 / 0
6 ptsPoints6 pts
#4League position#2
0 of 2Clean sheets (last 5)2 of 2
C. Palmer (2)Top scorerB. Saka (2)
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Chelsea

WW
  • W30 Aug 2026vs Brighton4–3
  • W24 Aug 2026at Fulham3–2

2W 0D 0L over 2 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 0 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Arsenal

WW
  • W31 Aug 2026at Aston Villa1–0
  • W21 Aug 2026vs Coventry City3–0

2W 0D 0L over 2 matches · 4 scored, 0 conceded · 2 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 2 v last 2
Scored per match
Chelsea3.50
Arsenal2.00
Conceded per match
Chelsea2.50
Arsenal0.00
Head to head

Last 5 meetings

Chelsea 0 · 1 drawn · Arsenal 4

DateHomeScoreAway
1 Mar 2026Arsenal2–1Chelsea
3 Feb 2026Arsenal1–0Chelsea
14 Jan 2026Chelsea2–3Arsenal
30 Nov 2025Chelsea1–1Arsenal
16 Mar 2025Arsenal1–0Chelsea
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 38% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Low influenceBalanced

Chelsea rating 1.4 vs Arsenal 1.4 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Chelsea

Chelsea play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 3-2 implies goals at both ends.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Chelsea vs Arsenal prediction

Arsenal arrive at Stamford Bridge having dominated this fixture recently, winning four of the last five meetings including three consecutive victories.

Who will win Chelsea vs Arsenal?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Chelsea to win with a 38% probability.

When is Chelsea vs Arsenal?

Kick-off: Saturday, 13 March 2027 at 15:00 UTC at Stamford Bridge.

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Chelsea favoured

Kicks off in 189d 22h

38%