Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Brighton & Hove Albion to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Brighton & Hove Albion's perfect home record (100% win rate, 4.00 goals per game) and dominant head-to-head history — four consecutive wins including three clean sheets at the Amex — makes them genuine favourites despite Chelsea's quality.
at 90 minutes · Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea
Updated 8 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Brighton v Chelsea by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Brighton
- L30 Aug 2026at Chelsea3–4
- W23 Aug 2026vs Aston Villa4–0
1W 0D 1L over 2 matches · 7 scored, 4 conceded · 1 clean sheet
Premier League 2026/27
Chelsea
- W30 Aug 2026vs Brighton4–3
- W24 Aug 2026at Fulham3–2
2W 0D 0L over 2 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Brighton 4 · 0 drawn · Chelsea 1
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr 2026 | Brighton | 3–0 | Chelsea |
| 27 Sept 2025 | Chelsea | 1–3 | Brighton |
| 14 Feb 2025 | Brighton | 3–0 | Chelsea |
| 8 Feb 2025 | Brighton | 2–1 | Chelsea |
| 28 Sept 2024 | Chelsea | 4–2 | Brighton |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 48% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Brighton & Hove Albion rating 1.4 vs Chelsea 1.4 across the last 5 matches.
Brighton & Hove Albion play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 2-1 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Brighton & Hove Albion dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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FAQBrighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea prediction
Brighton & Hove Albion's perfect home record (100% win rate, 4.00 goals per game) and dominant head-to-head history — four consecutive wins including three clean sheets at the Amex — makes them genuine favourites despite Chelsea's quality.
Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Brighton & Hove Albion to win with a 48% probability.
When is Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea?
Kick-off: Saturday, 17 April 2027 at 14:00 UTC at Amex Stadium.
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Brighton & Hove Albion favoured
Kicks off in 224d 21h