Bournemouth vs Newcastle United — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 29
13 MarchVitality StadiumKicks off in 144d 21h 39m
Featured Prediction

Newcastle United to win

46%Toss-up
Bournemouth win28%
Draw26%
Newcastle United win46%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Bournemouth's catastrophic injury crisis strips them of eight first-team players including midfield anchor Tyler Adams, playmaker Amin Adli, and Ryan Christie's suspension, leaving them desperately thin against a Newcastle United side arriving with a fully fit squad.
Predicted final score
1 – 2

at 90 minutes · Bournemouth vs Newcastle United

Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
1 for Bournemouth · 2 for Newcastle United
Predicted margin
0
1-goal edge to Newcastle United
Match tempo
Balanced
Measured, decided by moments
Match closeness
Close
20-point gap between the favourite and the underdog

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Key stats

Bournemouth v Newcastle by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

BournemouthNewcastle
1-3-3League record (W-D-L)2-2-3
9 / 13Goals for / against10 / 14
6 ptsPoints8 pts
#15League position#11
1-2-1 at homeHome / away record1-0-2 away
1 of 5Clean sheets (last 5)0 of 5
Marcus Tavernier (3)Top scorerYoane Wissa (2)
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Bournemouth

WLLDD
  • W18 Oct 2026vs Sunderland2–0
  • L10 Oct 2026at Chelsea1–5
  • L20 Sept 2026vs Liverpool0–1
  • D12 Sept 2026vs Brentford2–2
  • D5 Sept 2026at Newcastle2–2

1W 2D 2L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 10 conceded · 1 clean sheet

Premier League 2026/27

Newcastle

LLWLD
  • L17 Oct 2026vs Aston Villa0–1
  • L12 Oct 2026at Coventry City1–4
  • W19 Sept 2026vs Hull City2–1
  • L14 Sept 2026at Leeds United1–4
  • D5 Sept 2026vs Bournemouth2–2

1W 1D 3L over 5 matches · 6 scored, 12 conceded · 0 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 5 v last 5
Scored per match
Bournemouth1.40
Newcastle1.20
Conceded per match
Bournemouth2.00
Newcastle2.40
Head to head

Last 5 meetings

Bournemouth 2 · 3 drawn · Newcastle 0

DateHomeScoreAway
18 Apr 2026Newcastle1–2Bournemouth
10 Jan 2026Newcastle2–2Bournemouth
21 Sept 2025Bournemouth0–0Newcastle
18 Jan 2025Newcastle1–4Bournemouth
25 Aug 2024Bournemouth1–1Newcastle
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 46% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Low influenceBalanced

Bournemouth rating 0.8 vs Newcastle United 1.0 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Bournemouth

Bournemouth play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 1-2 implies goals at both ends.

Possession Projection
Newcastle United ~59%

Prediction advantage suggests Newcastle United dictate the tempo.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Bournemouth vs Newcastle United prediction

Bournemouth's catastrophic injury crisis strips them of eight first-team players including midfield anchor Tyler Adams, playmaker Amin Adli, and Ryan Christie's suspension, leaving them desperately thin against a Newcastle United side arriving with a fully fit squad.

Who will win Bournemouth vs Newcastle United?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Newcastle United to win with a 46% probability.

When is Bournemouth vs Newcastle United?

Kick-off: Saturday, 13 March 2027 at 15:00 UTC at Vitality Stadium.

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Newcastle United favoured

Kicks off in 144d 21h

46%