Bournemouth vs Aston Villa — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Bournemouth to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Bournemouth's narrow 1-2 defeat at Manchester City represents a creditable performance against the league's elite, whereas Villa's 0-4 capitulation at Brighton exposes catastrophic defensive fragility that has seen them concede 4.0 goals per game on the road this season with a 0% away win rate.
at 90 minutes · Bournemouth vs Aston Villa
Updated 8 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Bournemouth v Aston Villa by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Bournemouth
- D29 Aug 2026vs Everton1–1
- L23 Aug 2026at Man City1–2
0W 1D 1L over 2 matches · 2 scored, 3 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Aston Villa
- L31 Aug 2026vs Arsenal0–1
- L23 Aug 2026at Brighton0–4
0W 0D 2L over 2 matches · 0 scored, 5 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Bournemouth 0 · 2 drawn · Aston Villa 3
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Bournemouth | 1–1 | Aston Villa |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Aston Villa | 4–0 | Bournemouth |
| 10 May 2025 | Bournemouth | 0–1 | Aston Villa |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Aston Villa | 1–1 | Bournemouth |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Aston Villa | 3–1 | Bournemouth |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 58% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Bournemouth rating 0.8 vs Aston Villa 0.8 across the last 5 matches.
Bournemouth play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 2-1 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Bournemouth dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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Frequently asked
FAQBournemouth vs Aston Villa prediction
Bournemouth's narrow 1-2 defeat at Manchester City represents a creditable performance against the league's elite, whereas Villa's 0-4 capitulation at Brighton exposes catastrophic defensive fragility that has seen them concede 4.0 goals per game on the road this season with a 0% away win rate.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Bournemouth to win with a 58% probability.
When is Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?
Kick-off: Saturday, 2 January 2027 at 15:00 UTC at Vitality Stadium.
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Bournemouth favoured
Kicks off in 119d 22h