Aston Villa vs Newcastle UnitedPremier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 36
15 MayVilla ParkKicks off in 252d 21h 22m
Featured Prediction

Newcastle United to win

40%Toss-up
Aston Villa win28%
Draw32%
Newcastle United win40%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Aston Villa's 4-0 capitulation at Brighton reveals a side in severe distress, compounded by catastrophic injury depth — Emiliano Martínez, Ollie Watkins, Amadou Onana, Leon Bailey, Alejandro Garnacho, and Tammy Abraham are all unavailable, stripping Villa of their first-choice goalkeeper, primary striker, and creative midfield axis.
Predicted final score
1 2

at 90 minutes · Aston Villa vs Newcastle United

Updated 8 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
1 for Aston Villa · 2 for Newcastle United
Predicted margin
0
1-goal edge to Newcastle United
Match tempo
Balanced
Measured, decided by moments
Match closeness
Tight
Only 12 points separate the outcomes — this one could go either way

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Key stats

Aston Villa v Newcastle by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

Aston VillaNewcastle
0-0-2League record (W-D-L)1-1-0
0 / 5Goals for / against4 / 2
0 ptsPoints4 pts
#19League position#6
0 of 2Clean sheets (last 5)1 of 2
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Aston Villa

LL
  • L31 Aug 2026vs Arsenal01
  • L23 Aug 2026at Brighton04

0W 0D 2L over 2 matches · 0 scored, 5 conceded · 0 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Newcastle

WD
  • W29 Aug 2026at Spurs20
  • D23 Aug 2026vs Liverpool22

1W 1D 0L over 2 matches · 4 scored, 2 conceded · 1 clean sheet

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 2 v last 2
Scored per match
Aston Villa0.00
Newcastle2.00
Conceded per match
Aston Villa2.50
Newcastle1.00
Head to head

Last 5 meetings

Aston Villa 2 · 1 drawn · Newcastle 2

DateHomeScoreAway
14 Feb 2026Aston Villa1–3Newcastle
25 Jan 2026Newcastle0–2Aston Villa
16 Aug 2025Aston Villa0–0Newcastle
19 Apr 2025Aston Villa4–1Newcastle
26 Dec 2024Newcastle3–0Aston Villa
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 40% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Low influenceBalanced

Aston Villa rating 0.8 vs Newcastle United 1.0 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Aston Villa

Aston Villa play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 1-2 implies goals at both ends.

Possession Projection
Newcastle United ~56%

Prediction advantage suggests Newcastle United dictate the tempo.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Aston Villa vs Newcastle United prediction

Aston Villa's 4-0 capitulation at Brighton reveals a side in severe distress, compounded by catastrophic injury depth — Emiliano Martínez, Ollie Watkins, Amadou Onana, Leon Bailey, Alejandro Garnacho, and Tammy Abraham are all unavailable, stripping Villa of their first-choice goalkeeper, primary striker, and creative midfield axis.

Who will win Aston Villa vs Newcastle United?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Newcastle United to win with a 40% probability.

When is Aston Villa vs Newcastle United?

Kick-off: Saturday, 15 May 2027 at 14:00 UTC at Villa Park.

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Newcastle United favoured

Kicks off in 252d 21h

40%