Aston Villa vs Liverpool — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 18
30 DecemberVilla ParkKicks off in 72d 1h 12m
Featured Prediction

Liverpool to win

46%Toss-up
Aston Villa win28%
Draw26%
Liverpool win46%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Aston Villa are in catastrophic form, shipping four goals at Brighton in their only recorded match and missing nine first-team players including key goalkeeper Emiliano Martínez, first-choice striker Ollie Watkins, and creative fulcrum Amadou Onana.
Predicted final score
1 – 2

at 90 minutes · Aston Villa vs Liverpool

Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
1 for Aston Villa · 2 for Liverpool
Predicted margin
0
1-goal edge to Liverpool
Match tempo
Balanced
Measured, decided by moments
Match closeness
Close
20-point gap between the favourite and the underdog

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Key stats

Aston Villa v Liverpool by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

Aston VillaLiverpool
2-2-3League record (W-D-L)3-3-1
7 / 11Goals for / against9 / 8
8 ptsPoints12 pts
#12League position#5
0-1-2 at homeHome / away record3-1-0 away
2 of 5Clean sheets (last 5)3 of 5
Johan Manzambi (2)Top scorerAlexander Isak (5)
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Aston Villa

WDWLD
  • W17 Oct 2026at Newcastle1–0
  • D10 Oct 2026vs Brentford2–2
  • W19 Sept 2026at Spurs3–2
  • L12 Sept 2026vs Forest1–2
  • D5 Sept 2026at Hull City0–0

2W 2D 1L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 6 conceded · 2 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Liverpool

WLWDW
  • W17 Oct 2026at Brentford2–1
  • L11 Oct 2026vs Man City0–3
  • W20 Sept 2026at Bournemouth1–0
  • D12 Sept 2026vs Fulham0–0
  • W4 Sept 2026at Ipswich Town2–0

3W 1D 1L over 5 matches · 5 scored, 4 conceded · 3 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 5 v last 5
Scored per match
Aston Villa1.40
Liverpool1.00
Conceded per match
Aston Villa1.20
Liverpool0.80
Head to head

Last 5 meetings

Aston Villa 1 · 2 drawn · Liverpool 2

DateHomeScoreAway
15 May 2026Aston Villa4–2Liverpool
1 Nov 2025Liverpool2–0Aston Villa
19 Feb 2025Aston Villa2–2Liverpool
9 Nov 2024Liverpool2–0Aston Villa
13 May 2024Aston Villa3–3Liverpool
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 46% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Low influenceBalanced

Aston Villa rating 0.8 vs Liverpool 1.0 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Aston Villa

Aston Villa play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 1-2 implies goals at both ends.

Possession Projection
Liverpool ~59%

Prediction advantage suggests Liverpool dictate the tempo.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Aston Villa vs Liverpool prediction

Aston Villa are in catastrophic form, shipping four goals at Brighton in their only recorded match and missing nine first-team players including key goalkeeper Emiliano Martínez, first-choice striker Ollie Watkins, and creative fulcrum Amadou Onana.

Who will win Aston Villa vs Liverpool?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Liverpool to win with a 46% probability.

When is Aston Villa vs Liverpool?

Kick-off: Wednesday, 30 December 2026 at 20:15 UTC at Villa Park.

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Liverpool favoured

Kicks off in 72d 1h

46%