Aston Villa vs Leeds United — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Leeds United to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Aston Villa arrive in catastrophic form after a 4-0 hammering at Brighton, missing nine first-team players including Ollie Watkins, Emiliano Martínez, Amadou Onana, and Alejandro Garnacho — decimating both their attack and defensive spine.
at 90 minutes · Aston Villa vs Leeds United
Updated 8 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Aston Villa v Leeds United by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Aston Villa
- L31 Aug 2026vs Arsenal0–1
- L23 Aug 2026at Brighton0–4
0W 0D 2L over 2 matches · 0 scored, 5 conceded · 0 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Leeds United
- D30 Aug 2026vs Brentford1–1
- W22 Aug 2026at Forest1–0
1W 1D 0L over 2 matches · 2 scored, 1 conceded · 1 clean sheet
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Aston Villa 3 · 2 drawn · Leeds United 0
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Aston Villa | 1–1 | Leeds United |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Leeds United | 1–2 | Aston Villa |
| 13 Jan 2023 | Aston Villa | 2–1 | Leeds United |
| 2 Oct 2022 | Leeds United | 0–0 | Aston Villa |
| 17 Jul 2022 | Aston Villa | 1–0 | Leeds United |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 38% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Aston Villa rating 0.8 vs Leeds United 1.4 across the last 5 matches.
Aston Villa play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
The prediction expects Leeds United to keep it tidy at the back.
Prediction advantage suggests Leeds United dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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FAQAston Villa vs Leeds United prediction
Aston Villa arrive in catastrophic form after a 4-0 hammering at Brighton, missing nine first-team players including Ollie Watkins, Emiliano Martínez, Amadou Onana, and Alejandro Garnacho — decimating both their attack and defensive spine.
Who will win Aston Villa vs Leeds United?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Leeds United to win with a 38% probability.
When is Aston Villa vs Leeds United?
Kick-off: Saturday, 26 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC at Villa Park.
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Leeds United favoured
Kicks off in 112d 22h