Arsenal vs Manchester United — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 16
19 DecemberEmirates StadiumKicks off in 60d 19h 56m
Featured Prediction

Arsenal to win

68%High confidence
Arsenal win68%
Draw20%
Manchester United win12%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Arsenal arrive in dominant form after dismantling Coventry City 3-0 at home, maintaining their perfect 100% win rate at the Emirates this season with three goals per game and just 0.60 conceded per match.
Predicted final score
3 – 1

at 90 minutes · Arsenal vs Manchester United

Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
3 for Arsenal · 1 for Manchester United
Predicted margin
0
2-goal edge to Arsenal
Match tempo
High-scoring
Open, chances at both ends

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Key stats

Arsenal v Man United by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

ArsenalMan United
6-0-1League record (W-D-L)1-4-2
11 / 5Goals for / against10 / 10
18 ptsPoints7 pts
#2League position#13
3-0-0 at homeHome / away record0-3-1 away
2 of 5Clean sheets (last 5)0 of 5
B. Saka (2)Top scorerB. Fernandes (3)
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Arsenal

WWLWW
  • W18 Oct 2026at Forest1–0
  • W10 Oct 2026vs Leeds United2–1
  • L19 Sept 2026at Brighton0–3
  • W12 Sept 2026at Sunderland2–0
  • W6 Sept 2026vs Chelsea2–1

4W 0D 1L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 2 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Man United

DDDLD
  • D18 Oct 2026at Leeds United1–1
  • D10 Oct 2026vs Spurs1–1
  • D20 Sept 2026at Fulham1–1
  • L13 Sept 2026vs Man City0–1
  • D6 Sept 2026at Everton2–2

0W 4D 1L over 5 matches · 5 scored, 6 conceded · 0 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 5 v last 5
Scored per match
Arsenal1.40
Man United1.00
Conceded per match
Arsenal1.00
Man United1.20
Head to head

Last 5 meetings

Arsenal 2 · 2 drawn · Man United 1

DateHomeScoreAway
25 Jan 2026Arsenal2–3Man United
17 Aug 2025Man United0–1Arsenal
9 Mar 2025Man United1–1Arsenal
12 Jan 2025Arsenal1–1Man United
4 Dec 2024Arsenal2–0Man United
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 68% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Medium influenceFavours Arsenal

Arsenal rating 1.4 vs Manchester United 0.8 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Arsenal

Arsenal play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 3-1 implies goals at both ends.

Possession Projection
Arsenal ~65%

Prediction advantage suggests Arsenal dictate the tempo.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Arsenal vs Manchester United prediction

Arsenal arrive in dominant form after dismantling Coventry City 3-0 at home, maintaining their perfect 100% win rate at the Emirates this season with three goals per game and just 0.60 conceded per match.

Who will win Arsenal vs Manchester United?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Arsenal to win with a 68% probability.

When is Arsenal vs Manchester United?

Kick-off: Saturday, 19 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC at Emirates Stadium.

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Arsenal favoured

Kicks off in 60d 19h

68%