Arsenal vs Manchester City — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction
Arsenal to win
Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.
Arsenal arrive at the Emirates having demolished Coventry 3-0 and boasting a perfect 100% home win rate this season, scoring three goals per game on their own patch.
at 90 minutes · Arsenal vs Manchester City
Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI
Predictions update daily as new data comes in.
A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.
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Arsenal v Man City by the numbers
League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.
Every result, with the actual scorelines
Arsenal
- W18 Oct 2026at Forest1–0
- W10 Oct 2026vs Leeds United2–1
- L19 Sept 2026at Brighton0–3
- W12 Sept 2026at Sunderland2–0
- W6 Sept 2026vs Chelsea2–1
4W 0D 1L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 2 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Man City
- W17 Oct 2026vs Ipswich Town3–2
- W11 Oct 2026at Liverpool3–0
- W20 Sept 2026vs Sunderland5–3
- W13 Sept 2026at Man United1–0
- W5 Sept 2026vs Coventry City1–0
5W 0D 0L over 5 matches · 13 scored, 5 conceded · 3 clean sheets
Premier League 2026/27
Last 5 meetings
Arsenal 2 · 1 drawn · Man City 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | Arsenal | 3–0 | Man City |
| 19 Apr 2026 | Man City | 2–1 | Arsenal |
| 22 Mar 2026 | Arsenal | 0–2 | Man City |
| 21 Sept 2025 | Arsenal | 1–1 | Man City |
| 2 Feb 2025 | Arsenal | 5–1 | Man City |
Why the AI is confident
A look at the 48% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.
Arsenal rating 1.4 vs Manchester City 1.4 across the last 5 matches.
Arsenal play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.
Beyond the headline prediction
Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.
Projected 2-1 implies goals at both ends.
Prediction advantage suggests Arsenal dictate the tempo.
How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →
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Frequently asked
FAQArsenal vs Manchester City prediction
Arsenal arrive at the Emirates having demolished Coventry 3-0 and boasting a perfect 100% home win rate this season, scoring three goals per game on their own patch.
Who will win Arsenal vs Manchester City?
FootyPulse's AI predicts Arsenal to win with a 48% probability.
When is Arsenal vs Manchester City?
Kick-off: Sunday, 29 November 2026 at 16:30 UTC at Emirates Stadium.
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Arsenal favoured
Kicks off in 40d 23h