Arsenal vs Aston Villa — Premier League 2026/27 Prediction

Premier League 2026/27Regular Season - 32
17 AprilEmirates StadiumKicks off in 179d 14h 20m
Featured Prediction

Arsenal to win

78%Very high confidence
Arsenal win78%
Draw15%
Aston Villa win7%

Probabilities are for 90 minutes only — extra time and penalties are not modelled.

Why the AI leans this way
Arsenal's 3-0 dismantling of Coventry demonstrates their attacking fluency, while Villa's 0-4 capitulation at Brighton exposes defensive fragility that worsens dramatically away from home.
Predicted final score
4 – 1

at 90 minutes · Arsenal vs Aston Villa

Updated 53 days ago · FootyPulse AI

Predictions update daily as new data comes in.

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The numbers behind it

A quick read on the shape of the match, straight from the FootyPulse model.

Predicted goals
0
4 for Arsenal · 1 for Aston Villa
Predicted margin
0
3-goal edge to Arsenal
Match tempo
High-scoring
Open, chances at both ends

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Key stats

Arsenal v Aston Villa by the numbers

League figures from the Premier League 2026/27.

ArsenalAston Villa
6-0-1League record (W-D-L)2-2-3
11 / 5Goals for / against7 / 11
18 ptsPoints8 pts
#2League position#12
3-0-0 at homeHome / away record2-1-1 away
2 of 5Clean sheets (last 5)2 of 5
B. Saka (2)Top scorerJohan Manzambi (2)
Recent form

Every result, with the actual scorelines

Arsenal

WWLWW
  • W18 Oct 2026at Forest1–0
  • W10 Oct 2026vs Leeds United2–1
  • L19 Sept 2026at Brighton0–3
  • W12 Sept 2026at Sunderland2–0
  • W6 Sept 2026vs Chelsea2–1

4W 0D 1L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 5 conceded · 2 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Aston Villa

WDWLD
  • W17 Oct 2026at Newcastle1–0
  • D10 Oct 2026vs Brentford2–2
  • W19 Sept 2026at Spurs3–2
  • L12 Sept 2026vs Forest1–2
  • D5 Sept 2026at Hull City0–0

2W 2D 1L over 5 matches · 7 scored, 6 conceded · 2 clean sheets

Premier League 2026/27

Goals per match, last 5 v last 5
Scored per match
Arsenal1.40
Aston Villa1.40
Conceded per match
Arsenal1.00
Aston Villa1.20
Head to head

Last 5 meetings

Arsenal 2 · 1 drawn · Aston Villa 2

DateHomeScoreAway
30 Dec 2025Arsenal4–1Aston Villa
6 Dec 2025Aston Villa2–1Arsenal
18 Jan 2025Arsenal2–2Aston Villa
24 Aug 2024Aston Villa0–2Arsenal
14 Apr 2024Arsenal0–2Aston Villa
AI Confidence Breakdown

Why the AI is confident

A look at the 78% call — every factor is grounded in the data behind the prediction.

Recent Form
Medium influenceFavours Arsenal

Arsenal rating 1.4 vs Aston Villa 0.8 across the last 5 matches.

Home Advantage
Medium influenceFavours Arsenal

Arsenal play at home, historically worth a measurable edge on results.

Match Scenarios

Beyond the headline prediction

Secondary AI reads on how the 90 minutes could unfold.

Both Teams to Score
Probable

Projected 4-1 implies goals at both ends.

Possession Projection
Arsenal ~65%

Prediction advantage suggests Arsenal dictate the tempo.

How do we generate these probabilities? How our predictions are made →

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Frequently asked

FAQ

Arsenal vs Aston Villa prediction

Arsenal's 3-0 dismantling of Coventry demonstrates their attacking fluency, while Villa's 0-4 capitulation at Brighton exposes defensive fragility that worsens dramatically away from home.

Who will win Arsenal vs Aston Villa?

FootyPulse's AI predicts Arsenal to win with a 78% probability.

When is Arsenal vs Aston Villa?

Kick-off: Saturday, 17 April 2027 at 14:00 UTC at Emirates Stadium.

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Arsenal favoured

Kicks off in 179d 14h

78%